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5

May 2026

4月份，美国ISM服务业就业指数从前值45.2上升至48

ISM服务业就业指数4月回升至48，收缩放缓成关键转折：美联储更难急降息。可留意做空美债期货、卖标普价外PUT收息，并布局DXY看涨期权。

5

May 2026

4月美国ISM服务业新订单指数从前值60.6下滑至53.5

ISM美国服务业新订单4月从60.6急跌至53.5：需求降温最明确信号。通胀仍黏，美联储更难抉择；股市或回调，考虑SPY下行保护与VIX看涨布局。

5

May 2026

纽约梅隆银行（BNY）Bob Savage：霍尔木兹海峡航运成能源风险“风向标”，停火存疑与美国政策变数扰动油价

霍尔木兹通行量成油市最大温度计：停火存疑、OVX仍高。美参院拟军事授权，冲突或快升级。跨海峡油轮仍低于均值，油价高波动续。

5

May 2026

高盛延续看涨走势，艾略特波浪分析勾勒突破1000美元后的路径与目标

高盛周线艾略特浪偏多：2025年4月起五浪上行，现处((2))回调。守住2026年3月低点，目标1035–1114创新高；跌破则转空，期权需对冲。

5

May 2026

触及纪录高点后，美元/印度卢比随美元走软回落，紧张局势限制卢比涨幅

美元回落令USD/INR自95.40高位回吐，但中东战事推高油价、加剧通胀与外资净流出，卢比料续弱；策略偏多美元，期货/远期/看涨期权对冲。

5

May 2026

法兴：霍尔木兹紧张局势盖过阿联酋退出OPEC与OPEC+消息，布伦特油价跳涨4%

阿联酋5月1日起退出OPEC/OPEC+，布伦特却暴涨近4%！市场更怕霍尔木兹海峡“实际关闭”。沙特供应管理压力飙升，OVX破65，油价或冲110美元。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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