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Live Updates

20

May 2026

随着通胀担忧推高实际收益率，美元走强，焦点转向FOMC会议纪要

通胀顽固推高美国实际收益率、债市抛售，美元避险吸引力飙至2022年底以来最强。FOMC纪要若偏鹰、提及加息，DXY或破99.50，英镑承压。

20

May 2026

纽元/美元在0.5850附近企稳，地缘政治风险与美联储前景支撑美元

纽元/美元反弹至0.5850仍受压：地缘风险升温推高避险美元；能源通胀抬升加息押注，FedWatch显示年底前加25基点概率近40%，纽元难摆脱弱势。

20

May 2026

UOB：美元/日元料延续区间波动、偏向上行，干预风险抑制涨幅或受限于160.50附近

美元/日元短线锁定158.75–159.25区间，强支撑上移至158.40；突破159.25才看159.75。日本或干预压制160，上行可卖出160.50上方call spread赚权利金。

20

May 2026

印尼央行意外加息50个基点并收紧外汇措施，在全球动荡中提振印尼盾

中东冲突推升波动，印尼央行意外加息50bp至5.25%捍卫印尼盾，并强化NDF与即期干预。利差扩大利好套利与做多IDR，做空风险升温。

20

May 2026

美元/日元回升至159附近，美国国债收益率推动涨势，日本干预风险在逼近160之际升温

美元/日元回升至159，推手仍是美债利率与通胀顽固。逼近160–161，日方干预警报升温。期权波动率飙至11.5%，策略转向买跌或卖涨价差。

20

May 2026

ING指出，随着美联储与欧洲央行政策分歧扩大，欧元/美元下行风险上升，1.1570支撑位成为关注焦点

ING警告：EUR/USD下行风险未消，中东利好刺激递减。1.1570成关键支撑，失守或再现跳空。美元利率走高、互换利差扩至-100bp，欧元支撑转弱。

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