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28

Aug 2026

欧元区能源主导的通胀趋于坚挺，市场聚焦欧洲央行9月加息；美国PCE提振美元

欧元区能源推升法西通胀但核心回落，二轮效应受控；市场过度押注ECB再加息。美国PCE偏热抬升收益率压制欧元。策略：做多Euribor、买欧元看跌。

28

Aug 2026

美元/加元在加拿大GDP与贸易数据公布前守住200日均线；市场聚焦加央行加息预期重新定价

USD/CAD逼近200日均线1.3840，静待加拿大二季度GDP或反弹至3.4%SAAR。美加贸易摩擦与加息预期或被下修，期权波动上升，汇价或冲击1.4000。

28

Aug 2026

爱尔兰7月零售销售增速加快，引发欧元区需求回升及欧洲央行政策走向疑问

爱尔兰7月零售销售环比大增1.3%显著超预期，消费韧性强化并传导欧元区景气。或令ECB降息更审慎，短端利率上行；欧元、零售股期权策略受益。

28

Aug 2026

比利时8月CPI涨幅放缓，强化市场对欧洲央行鸽派立场押注及欧元走弱信号

比利时8月CPI环比升0.4%低于前值，通胀动能降温或强化ECB9月鸽派降息预期；策略关注做多Bund、看涨债券期权，并配置做空欧元与多头Euribor。

28

Aug 2026

欧洲天然气价格飙升重燃通胀担忧，市场计入英国央行加息预期，支撑英镑

欧洲与英国天然气飙升重启通胀风险：英国近月合约较7月初涨62.5%创年内高位，市场上修英银年内加息预期，支撑英镑与欧元。

28

Aug 2026

欧元区工业景气指数不及预期拖累欧元，交易员聚焦欧股与德国国债

欧元区8月工业信心降至-5.3逊于预期，制造业景气延续低迷。或压制欧元、拖累股指，强化ECB宽松预期；建议布局EUR/USD、DAX/EuroStoxx50看跌及德债期权。

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