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26

Jun 2026

英镑/日元走低：日本央行鹰派立场提振日元，与英国央行政策分歧进一步扩大

日银鹰派信号推升日元，GBP/JPY跌至212.90附近；但政策正常化渐进及利差限制升幅。英央行转鸽、英数据走弱，策略偏空，建议买入看跌期权并防范干预与波动。

26

Jun 2026

美国新屋销售不及预期，强化市场对美联储降息押注并推动住房相关股权对冲配置

美国5月新屋销售0.58百万套逊预期，凸显高利率抑制需求并强化年内降息预期；建议增配SOFR期货与长久期美债期权，对冲标普下行，做空建筑商及可选消费。

26

Jun 2026

美国新屋销售低于预期，高企抵押贷款利率抑制住房需求

美国5月新屋销售回升但仅58万套，低于预期64万且口径存量纲错配。高按揭利率压制需求，利好做空住宅建筑及波动率策略，降息预期升温。

26

Jun 2026

由于美国与加拿大收益率利差扩大，美元/加元走高，RSI触及二十年来超买极值

USD/CAD在美加2年期利差扩大支撑下缓步上行，若突破1.41或指向1.43-1.45，但RSI飙至88.4显著超买；期权多头宜配合看跌对冲或牛市价差控险。

22

Jun 2026

中国在采购限制中锁定46家美国企业，并对10家实体收紧出口管制

中方祭出政府采购禁令与出口管制，46家美企遭限购、10家列清单即刻禁运。贸易战再升级，VIX或飙、科技股承压，澳元短稳后恐转弱。

22

Jun 2026

澳元/美元守在0.7000附近：鹰派美联储、霍尔木兹风险施压，尽管澳储行仍偏向收紧政策

钩子：0.7000撑得住吗？AUD/USD受美元需求与地缘避险压制，技术偏空指向0.6928/0.6832；RBA潜在加息与铁矿石企稳缓冲跌势，策略偏向买Put或熊市价差。

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