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30

Jun 2026

韩国5月工业产出下滑，加剧对KOSPI指数及韩元的下行压力

韩国5月工业产出同比转负至-0.9%，制造业景气恶化或由半导体需求下行驱动。风险溢价抬升，KOSPI200或承压；韩元支撑减弱，USD/KRW偏强。

30

Jun 2026

中国人民银行推出1.25%隔夜流动性工具，推动中国短端利率下行

央行首推1.25%隔夜流动性工具并投放3000亿元，利率低于预期且较7天逆回购低15bp，释放温和宽松信号，压低短端成本，提振股债，人民币承压。

30

Jun 2026

英镑兑日元走强，GBP/JPY在干预风险与技术面偏多背景下测试215关口

英镑/日元走强并重返50日均线，上升三角形蓄势待破；若上破215看向216.60。警惕日本当局干预风险，期权策略建议多头看涨或宽跨式对冲波动。

30

Jun 2026

美联储转向鹰派推动美元突破G10区间，美元指数（DXY）升破101，美国与伊朗达成停火协议后走高

美伊临时停火叠加美联储措辞转鹰，DXY上破101并脱离G10区间震荡。经济韧性与核心PCE黏性推升加息预期，低波动终结，期权布局美元上行成新主线。

30

Jun 2026

美元/离岸人民币维持窄幅区间震荡，UOB称若6.7900支撑守稳，上行目标指向6.8300

USD/CNH冲高6.8195后回落，UOB维持6.7950-6.8100区间与偏多框架；隐波降至3.8%利好卖跨。守6.7900看6.8300，突破6.8430确认趋势修复。

30

Jun 2026

美光在诉讼及韩国产能规划冲击存储器产业周期前景之际，大幅回吐早盘跌幅

美光盘中暴跌9.6%后V型翻红收涨，隐含波动率飙至65%。供给紧张推升DRAM/HBM涨价预期，短线看涨期权可博1,400美元，上行仍需警惕扩产与操纵诉讼风险。

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