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20

Jul 2026

加拿大6月通胀降温至2.8%，加剧市场对加拿大央行降息的押注

加拿大6月CPI同比降至2.8%低于预期，核心通胀逼近2%目标，降息窗口扩大；加元承压推升美元/加元至1.4050，建议布局加元看跌、做多CORRA期货及黄金看涨期权。

20

Jul 2026

加拿大6月核心CPI持平于0.2%，强化加拿大央行观望立场并促使加元交易维持区间震荡

加拿大6月核心CPI环比续升0.2%，潜在通胀韧性可控、接近目标，缓解央行突调压力；短端利率波动率偏高宜卖波动；加元料区间震荡，适配期权取息与尾部对冲。

20

Jul 2026

加拿大6月CPI下降0.4%，提振市场对加拿大央行降息的押注并令加元承压

加拿大6月CPI环比意外降至-0.4%，通胀降温超预期，强化央行降息预期。关注BAX短端、做多USD/CAD，利率敏感股或迎估值修复反弹。

20

Jul 2026

WTI油价反弹并重返81美元上方，因也门胡塞武装宣布对沙特阿拉伯实施海上封锁

胡塞宣称对沙特实施海上封锁引爆地缘风险溢价，WTI 反弹至81.35美元。近端波动率与期权隐波或走高，跨期反向结构可关注，上看90美元。

20

Jul 2026

德国商业银行预计欧洲央行7月将维持利率不变，油价上涨、PMI走弱下关注9月政策走向

油价上行叠加增长动能走弱，欧央行料本周按兵不动、9月加息预期已被充分计价。拉加德强调通胀风险但回避指引；PMI与美联储或引爆利率与汇率波动。

20

Jul 2026

英国通胀料维持在2.7%，服务业通胀保持韧性，燃油价格推动能源项目回升

英国6月CPI料回落至2.7%仍高黏性，服务业通胀3.6%支撑利率预期；燃料推升、能源或至5.9%，机票采样误差与Ofgem调价、工资二轮效应成关键变量。

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