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Live Updates

1

Sep 2026

日本10年期国债收益率触及3%，全球债券遭抛售且霍尔木兹海峡风险推升油价

通胀预期与国债供给共振推升全球收益率曲线陡峭化：日债10Y破3%领涨，美欧利率高企；霍尔木兹扰动抬升油价。建议债券空头、日元看涨、原油期权及波动率对冲。

1

Sep 2026

随着市场加大对美联储加息的押注，黄金跌至两周低位；霍尔木兹紧张局势推升油价

黄金受美联储加息预期升温、美元与美债收益率上行压制跌至两周低位；霍尔木兹冲突推升油价。关注4,350美元支撑，破位或下探4,267。

1

Sep 2026

欧元兑美元自1.1570支撑位反弹，市场权衡下行1.1550与上方1.1650阻力位

欧元兑美元触底1.1573后反弹至1.1620，动能仍弱，日内料1.1595-1.1640震荡；中期下行风险指向1.1550，唯突破1.1650方缓解，长期目标1.1800/1.1850。

1

Sep 2026

随着油价飙升令美联储前景蒙上阴影，并对欧元兑美元在1.1600附近构成压力，市场静待JOLTS职位空缺数据公布

JOLTS周二揭晓叠加油价破85美元推升能源通胀，市场警惕“就业趋弱-降息”逻辑失效；欧元/美元承压1.1600，美联储鹰派升温，期权对冲需求上升。

1

Sep 2026

在沃什鹰派立场、油价推升通胀及伊朗紧张局势支撑押注的背景下，美元指数反弹至99.50上方

美元指数重返99关口上方：沃什鹰派表态、油价推升通胀与美伊局势升级驱动加息预期及避险买盘；关注99.70-99.75突破，期权偏多布局，止损98.54。

1

Sep 2026

欧元区8月整体通胀回升、核心通胀降温，欧元在1.1595附近承压

欧元区8月HICP同比回升至3.3%、核心降至2.4%，通胀结构分化加剧ECB决策不确定性；欧元承压、EUR/USD回落至1.1595，建议关注看跌期权与波动率策略。

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