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22

Jul 2026

美元兑日元创40年新高，红海原油风险推升干预担忧

美元/日元续创40年新高逼近163.24，红海油轮改道推升避险美元与油价预期；汇价站稳160上方，市场警惕日本突发干预，建议期权对冲与波动率策略。

22

Jul 2026

美元/韩元双顶受阻后测试200日均线，韩元支撑趋稳

USD/KRW冲击1,561双顶失败后下挫，回测200日均线并关注1,464/1,461趋势支撑；出口韧性与韩央行维持3.50%利率托底韩元，反弹阻力1,491，跌破1,461或开启更深回调。

22

Jul 2026

美元/加元小幅升破1.4100，美国威胁对加拿大商品加征50%关税，市场波动加剧

重磅关税冲击下，美元/加元重返1.4100上方并剑指1.4150/1.4250；美进口通胀创纪录、加美年内加息预期升温，期权策略关注波动率上行与加元贬值对冲。

22

Jul 2026

新加坡出口激增、AI驱动电子行业上行周期延续，美元/新元在1.2910附近持续承压

新加坡非油出口6月飙升20.7%、上半年增18.6%远超指引，AI半导体与云资本开支推升电子周期，USD/SGD逼近1.2910；建议做多新元、布局科技期权并对冲关税逆风。

22

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势推升避险需求之际，尽管收益率走强，金价仍跃升至4,070美元上方

地缘冲突升级点燃避险交易：金价逆美元与美债收益率走强升至4,071美元，油价同步上行推升通胀预期与“高利率更久”定价，关注4,125阻力及美联储会议。

22

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势升温、油价风险强化市场对美联储政策收紧预期之际，美元指数小幅走高

中东冲突升级提振避险美元，DXY升至101.18逼近周高，或测试101.50。油价推升通胀预期，美联储或“更紧更久”。策略：做多美元及原油期权、对冲利率上行风险。

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