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Jul 2026

美元走弱，霍尔木兹紧张局势推升油价与金价；市场静待欧洲央行决议及美国初请失业金数据

霍尔木兹风险升温压制美元，DXY回落；油金走强。关注美初请、欧央行决议与拉加德表态。策略：黄金/原油看涨、欧元跨式、日元与加元期权对冲。

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Jul 2026

Alphabet每股收益大幅飙升，持有Anthropic股权增厚业绩；云业务增长加速，股价稳定于342美元附近

Alphabet盈利“爆表”却股价持平：EPS 9.11美元超预期，主要源于股权投资账面收益980亿美元。Q2营收1198亿美元、云业务增82%，利润率34%；期权宜卖虚值策略。

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Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎延续涨势突破0.8100关口，多头动能维持且收益率利差支撑美元

USD/CHF重返0.8100并维持抬升结构，RSI偏多；若突破0.8149，目标0.8172/0.8200。美联储-SNB利差扩大利多美元，期权与期货多头可关注。

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Jul 2026

欧元/日元升至186.20附近，欧元静待欧洲央行利率决议，日元持续承压

欧元/日元升至186.20附近：日元逼近多年低位持续承压，欧元静待欧洲央行利率决议与7月消费者信心回升；关注日本6月CPI及186.19阻力、186.07支撑。

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Jul 2026

美元走弱推动金价升至两周高位，美联储暂停加息概率下降及伊朗局势紧张推升油价

黄金受美元走弱上破关键阻力、上探两周高位；地缘紧张推升油价并扰动利率定价。关注4,100支撑与4,253阻力，期权策略用于捕捉波动并对冲风险。

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Jul 2026

布拉纳·沃伊契奇博士概述主要指数的市场周期与艾略特波浪前景及风险管理策略

Vojcic博士结合艾略特波浪与周期模型，预警标普500逼近斐波那契扩展位、趋势或衰竭；VIX季节性抬升与Put/Call升至0.85示警，建议转向限定风险价差与领口策略。

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