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24

Jul 2026

布伦特原油突破100美元，中东紧张局势推动油价飙升并抬升全球债券收益率

中东地缘风险推升布伦特油价自5月来重返100美元、周涨14%；WTI同步上扬。供应中断预期抬升隐含波动率与运费，通胀再燃或推迟降息、推高美债收益率。

24

Jul 2026

德国HCOB综合PMI重返扩张区间，制造业带动产出回升，欧元走软

德国HCOB综合PMI初值升至51.2重返扩张，制造业PMI跃升52.2成主驱动；服务业仍收缩但改善。欧元冲高回落，期权波动或上行，关注做空Bund、DAX看涨并配保护性看跌对冲。

24

Jul 2026

全球股市下挫，油价飙升与滞胀忧虑冲击科技股，高收益债利差扩大

油价逼近90美元触发滞胀交易，美欧亚股市同步回撤，Mag7与高收益利差走阔；VIX破20，建议以股指保护性看跌期权、信用/日历价差及能源、亚洲指数期权对冲。

24

Jul 2026

美元/加元跌破1.4100，红海紧张局势推升油价；美国PMI数据成市场焦点

红海袭击推升油价，美元/加元回落至1.4075下破1.4100，加元获支撑；关注美PMI或反制美元弱势。技术上1.4000支撑、1.4130阻力。

24

Jul 2026

欧洲央行维持利率不变，市场静待欧元区GDP与通胀快速数据以研判9月加息信号

欧洲央行按兵不动并强化观望，油价与通胀成加息门槛；7月30—31日GDP、通胀或重塑9月利率定价至2.65%，欧元交叉盘波动风险陡升。

24

Jul 2026

英镑跌至三周低位附近，油价飙升、关税及英国财政担忧推升美元

英镑兑美元徘徊三周低位1.3300，零售数据难改周跌约1%。油价逼近100与关税推升美债收益率，避险美元走强；建议熊市看跌价差及卖虚值看涨布局续跌。

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