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24

Jul 2026

加元企稳，收益率利差收窄；关税不确定性令美元/加元维持区间震荡

加元兑美元横盘于1.4060-1.4125，收益率回落与利差收窄暂稳基本面；但50%关税不确定性升温支撑USD/CAD。抓住波动前夜：短期铁鹰收权利金，并配置看涨期权防上破1.4200。

24

Jul 2026

荷兰合作银行预计英国央行将把利率维持在3.75%直至2026年，市场定价显示货币政策趋于更紧

荷兰合作银行称英央行7月30日或维持Bank Rate 3.75%并长期按兵不动至2026年；通胀回落、薪资降温削弱紧缩动能，但能源与地缘风险或抬升再加息概率。

24

Jul 2026

美国6月新屋销售反弹，降息押注降温并提振美元前景

美国6月新屋销售环比回升1.6%，扭转5月7.3%跌势，需求韧性提振“更高更久”预期；关注长期美债看跌、房建ETF看涨价差及美元指数短期看涨机会。

24

Jul 2026

WTI回调被视为提振风险偏好，标普500指数三角形形态暗示有望再创新高

WTI回调逼近76美元或缓解通胀压力，助推风险偏好回升；标普500或处第4浪三角整理，保留上破5600创新高空间。美元走弱利好贵金属与矿业股期权机会。

24

Jul 2026

代币化黄金催生套利机会，Tether 的 XAUT 将实物金条与 7×24 小时区块链市场联通

代币化黄金（如XAUT）以区块链权利主张锚定瑞士金库实物金条，带来碎片化与7×24流动性；关注COMEX价差套利与智能合约、托管及赎回条款风险。

24

Jul 2026

比利时领先指标不及预期，加剧市场对欧元区增长前景及政策降息的担忧

突发利空：比利时7月领先指标-11.9显著低于预期-10.2，强化欧元区增长下行定价。策略：配置Euro Stoxx50/BEL20看跌期权，做空EUR/USD，做多德债。

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