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27

Jul 2026

欧元/美元熊市趋势聚焦1.1300颈线破位，头肩顶风险升温

欧元兑美元延续熊市，或构筑头肩顶，1.1300为颈线与斐波那契及100日均线共振支撑；若本周有效跌破，或触发显著下行，建议期权/期货空头布局。

27

Jul 2026

美国-伊朗局势暂缓致风险溢价降温，WTI下挫7%，波动率压缩期权交易升温

WTI开盘跳空暴跌逾7%至82.50美元：美伊暂停互袭令地缘风险溢价快速回落，IV或收缩；关注卖期权与熊市价差，警惕胡塞扰动反噬。

27

Jul 2026

欧元走强，因伊朗暂缓行动提振风险偏好；市场静待美联储维持利率不变及欧元区通胀数据

突发利好：美伊冲突暂缓提振风险偏好，欧元兑美元升至1.1410、DXY回落；交易聚焦周三美联储按兵不动与周五欧元区HICP，衍生品宜动量与事件驱动。

27

Jul 2026

由于油价回落且美元在美联储议息周前走弱，卢比反弹

钩子：油价跳水叠加避险退潮，卢比强势延续。美伊冲突暂歇、DXY走弱，USD/INR回落至96.10；聚焦美联储决议，关注95.99支撑与97.10阻力。

27

Jul 2026

伊朗紧张局势缓和之际，金价企稳于4,100美元上方；交易员静待美联储利率决议及4,200美元关键阻力位

FOMC前谨慎！金价4,100美元上方震荡，停火预期压油价但红海扰动支撑通胀；美元与美债收益率回落提供支撑，4,200美元成突破关键，建议区间交易与期权宽跨捕捉波动。

27

Jul 2026

欧元/日元维持在186.50附近，上升楔形释放反转风险信号，187.95成关键关注位

EUR/JPY亚盘徘徊186.50，站稳9/50日EMA且RSI近60偏多；但上升楔形警示反转风险。关注186.90突破上探187.95，跌破185.31或指向181.87。

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