Live Updates

28

Jul 2026

新西兰元/美元徘徊于0.5790附近，油价下挫提振纽元，市场静待美联储决议

NZD/USD徘徊0.5790，美元走软亦难续升；油价下跌仅提供边际支撑。美国耐用品订单不及预期，市场静待ADP与美联储决议。技术偏空，破0.5771或加速下行，建议逢高做空并配置短期限看跌期权。

28

Jul 2026

金管局再度收紧新元名义有效汇率（S$NEER）政策区间斜率，提振新元前景，交易员关注美元兑新元（USD/SGD）下行空间

MAS连续二次收紧、上调S$NEER升值斜率至约1.25%提振新元；在增长强劲与通胀可控背景下，衍生品交易布局做空USD/SGD、买入看跌期权，并以短期限SGD看涨对冲外部利率与避险风险。

28

Jul 2026

韩国消费者信心小幅回升，科技出口激增提振股市及韩元前景

韩国7月消费者信心指数升至106.8，稳处扩张区间；叠加半导体出口高增，股市上行压力增强。关注KOSPI200偏多期权、做空USD/KRW及国债收益率。

28

Jul 2026

日本经济面临增速放缓，随着日本央行加息效应显现，推动收益率上行并令日元持续承压

警惕日本“滞胀式放缓”：2026年GDP增速料降至0.8%，通胀与能源成本拖累；日央行已转鹰并加息至1.0%，终端利率或向2.5%推进，日元偏弱、长端利率承压。

28

Jul 2026

高盛称中国黄金购买量远高于官方数据，金价或将逼近4,900美元预测値

高盛测算中国经伦敦OTC隐性购金远超官方披露，或显著抬升2026年增持与金价上行预期至4,900美元；建议借回调布局看涨期权及牛市价差捕捉突破。

28

Jul 2026

韦尔登转为看多白银，警示人工智能泡沫及通胀风险对投资者的影响

Weldon称白银回调后重拾多头，重上60美元可增配实物与LEAPs；关键位36.5，5-7年目标326。警惕AI泡沫、厄尔尼诺与油库低位推升通胀，收益率上行或逼美联储重启QE。

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