Live Updates

29

Jul 2026

英镑徘徊于1.3300附近，美联储与英国央行利率决议前美元走软

美联储决议临近美元走软，GBP/USD围绕1.3300回升；FedWatch按兵不动概率升至69.5%。英国央行或维持3.75%。技术面受阻1.3350偏空，RSI下破风险。

29

Jul 2026

美国股指期货走势分化，中东紧张局势加剧，投资者静待美联储利率决议

警惕“双重冲击”再定价：中东紧张推升能源供给中断与通胀风险，美联储决议临近、加息概率上行，美股期货分化；建议以利率与原油期权对冲波动。

29

Jul 2026

希腊失业率降至8%，提振欧元前景并收窄主权债券利差

希腊6月失业率降至8%创阶段低位，劳动力市场收紧强化欧央行短期降息空间受限预期；希德利差收窄、主权风险溢价下行，利多欧元及希债、金融旅游板块期权策略。

29

Jul 2026

美元指数料在101.80附近见顶，夏季流动性清淡令交易员保持谨慎

美元指数现货101.80、期货101.57或构成阶段顶，技术面转弱偏空；若上破将重估。叠加淡季流动性下滑与通胀降温压制，策略以防御为主，待9月再择机。

29

Jul 2026

英国M4货币供应量同比增速6月达5%，英央行（BoE）鹰派预期升温

英国6月M4同比升至5%触及阈值，广义流动性回升或推升通胀预期，迫使英银维持偏鹰立场；关注SONIA做空、国债收益率上行与英镑期权机会。

29

Jul 2026

英国6月消费者信贷激增至95亿英镑，超预期并令市场对英国央行降息押注承压

英国6月个人净贷款升至95亿英镑，较预期高40亿，显示居民信贷需求与投放加速。通胀上行与“高利率更久”预期升温，利多英镑、压制短端利率期货。

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