by VT Markets
Jul 29, 2026
周三欧洲时段，英镑兑美元在1.3300附近小幅走强，因美联储于18:00 GMT公布政策决定前美元走软。美元指数（DXY）回落至101.30附近，市场评估在连续四次会议维持利率不变后再度按兵不动的可能性。CME FedWatch显示，利率维持在3.50%–3.75%区间的概率为69.5%；同时，投资者亦关注政策声明以及主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）在新闻发布会上的表态，以研判通胀与前景指引，并评估中东地区军事冲突升级的影响。
市场随后将焦点转向周四的英国央行利率决议，预计利率维持在3.75%，投票结果或为7–2。
从价格走势看，GBP/USD仍运行在20日指数移动均线（EMA）1.3353下方，同时低于此前一条下行趋势线附近的1.3489，令短线偏空格局延续。14周期RSI约在44附近，其他关注水平包括：6月下旬低点位于1.31中段、7月中旬高点位于1.35中段、支撑位1.3250与阻力位1.3350；同时，RSI被提示存在下破40的风险。
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