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30

Jul 2026

中国二季度GDP不及预期，出口支撑增长，人民币持续承压

二季度GDP同比仅增4.3%低于目标，内需与地产拖累叠加外部冲击；6月边际修复但政策偏谨慎。人民币偏弱，工业品承压，建议运用期权与Delta中性策略。

30

Jul 2026

英镑兑日元下跌，市场对干预的担忧升温；英国央行维持利率不变，鹰派分歧凸显

日元疑似获干预强势拉升，GBP/JPY自218急挫2.4%至213，USD/JPY失守160。英央行6-3偏鹰按兵不动，通胀2.6%但能源上行；建议布局做多波动率期权。

30

Jul 2026

EIA数据显示美国天然气库存增量不及预期，供需平衡趋紧，提振亨利枢纽价格前景

EIA显示美天然气库存仅增280亿立方英尺，显著低于预期350亿，供需趋紧释放看涨信号；建议布局近月亨利港看涨期权/9月多头，并关注10-1月跨期价差。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变后金价反弹，但道明证券称持仓因素或将限制金价上行空间至4,200美元/盎司以下

FOMC按兵不动致金价反弹，市场将加息预期后移至12月。TD称CTA空头压制上行，需突破4200/4300美元才回补转多，建议卖虚值看涨、区间交易。

30

Jul 2026

疑似日元干预后欧元/日元下挫，日本央行决议料将主导波动走势

日元疑似再获当局干预，EUR/JPY闪崩2.54%至182.60、USD/JPY失守161，隐波飙升。焦点转向BoJ决议与秋季加息线索，建议以短期限期权对冲并偏空欧日。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，叠加美国经济数据走软及欧元区经济增长提振，欧元兑美元走高

欧元兑美元上探1.1534创阶段新高：美联储按兵不动叠加美国GDP与核心PCE走弱压制美元，欧元区GDP超预期提振欧元，动量策略聚焦看涨期权与价差布局。

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