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3

Aug 2026

澳大利亚TD-MI通胀指标回升至4%，强化澳洲联储“更高利率维持更久”政策预期

澳大利亚7月TD-MI通胀同比升至4%并加速，显著高于RBA目标区间，或强化“利率更高更久”预期；警惕利率曲线重定价，债券承压、澳元偏强，股市需对冲。

3

Aug 2026

特朗普暗示与伊朗重启谈判，霍尔木兹紧张局势缓和推动WTI回落

特朗普称美伊周一重启会谈、袭击搁置及霍尔木兹通航预期升温，地缘风险溢价回落，WTI暴跌6.72%至79.38美元；关注EIA库存与OPEC+产量，期权对冲。

3

Aug 2026

欧元延续涨势站上1.1500关口，受油价下跌及欧洲央行加息预期支撑，美元走弱

欧元兑美元强势突破1.1500并剑指1.1700，美元指数受油价回落、日元回补及美联储政策担忧承压。建议配置欧元看涨与DXY看跌期权，关注ISM数据。

3

Aug 2026

中国人民银行将美元/人民币中间价小幅上调至6.7898，略高于前次定盘价

关注人民币汇率信号：央行周一将美元兑人民币中间价上调至6.7898，较前值6.7894微升，基准定价抬升，强化对在岸市场交易引导。

3

Aug 2026

在特朗普暂停对伊朗打击计划之际，金价升破4,050美元；投资者关注美联储利率走向与通胀风险

金价重返4,050美元上方、4,060美元附近震荡；特朗普暂停对伊朗打击令避险降温但风险未消。高利率压制配置，油价反弹推升通胀预期，期权跨式与牛市价差受捧。

3

Aug 2026

美元/日元跌至5月低点，据报美国与日本协调支持日元

美元/日元跌至155.45创阶段新低，传美日罕见协同干预并或续作，日元买盘升温。近590亿美元操作推升短端隐波，期权对冲需求激增。

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