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11

Aug 2026

黄金涨势考验4,500美元关口，美元与美国通胀数据定调冲击5,000美元路径

黄金月内飙升近10%扭转跌势，4,500美元成关键心理关口，5,000美元想象升温；美元指数与本周美国通胀数据为核心催化，衍生品宜用期权价差、移动止损严控回撤。

11

Aug 2026

受美伊谈判陷入僵局影响，欧元小幅走低，EUR/USD在100日移动均线附近受限

美伊谈判延宕提振美元，欧元兑美元回落0.13%并失守100日SMA 1.1568。通胀持稳、美债收益率下行支撑偏多，关注突破1.1600/1.1629或下破1.1500风险。

11

Aug 2026

在美元走强、油价飙升及CPI风险压制下，纽元/美元下滑至0.5880附近

霍尔木兹海峡关闭推升避险，DXY逼近100、WTI飙至81.5美元，NZD/USD回落0.5880并承压。周三美国CPI或引爆波动，建议对冲并偏空期权策略。

11

Aug 2026

美元走强，霍尔木兹海峡原油飙升提振金银；美元/日元走高，市场静待澳洲联储利率决议

霍尔木兹风险引爆油价飙涨逾6%，美元指数站稳99.80上方；金银同步走强，通胀与避险溢价抬升。关注美CPI、澳洲联储措辞及衍生品对冲机遇。

11

Aug 2026

渣打银行认为，中国由成本驱动的再通胀将延续低通胀与低收益率格局，同时行业利润分化加剧

成本驱动再通胀难改供需失衡：国内需求滞后、CPI低位与10年国债收益率约2.1%或延续。利润仅向AI与石油集中，建议聚焦利率互换、国债期货多头及板块期权对冲。

11

Aug 2026

比特币跌破6.5万美元，黄金守住4,350美元上方；Strategy出售比特币用于回购

加密市场回吐涨幅，BTC失守6.5万美元且MSTR套现增压，建议短线偏空并以6.2万保护性看跌对冲；黄金稳守4350上攻4400；XRP守1美元，宜区间期权策略。

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