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11

Aug 2026

欧元/美元维持窄幅震荡，市场静待美国CPI数据与美联储利率预期变化

欧元兑美元于1.1546附近横盘，静候美国CPI引爆波动；技术面受100日均线压制，建议期权以铁鹰捕捉权利金。德商行下修中期目标。

11

Aug 2026

新加坡上调2026年经济增长预期，人工智能热潮提振制造业、贸易及金融服务发展动能

新加坡2026增长动能再上台阶：二季度GDP上修至5.9%，官方与机构同步上调指引；制造、批发、金融及AI景气支撑。策略关注SGD与STI看涨期权，叠加保护性看跌对冲地缘与高基数风险。

11

Aug 2026

油价反弹推动美元走强，布伦特原油触及90美元，受美债收益率走高、股市走弱影响，美元/日元测试159水平

油价续涨布伦特逼近90、美债收益率升至4.70%，美元/日元重返159.4风口；建议期权布局：买WTI看涨、日元对冲；金价回撤宜熊市价差；比索受AI出口支撑。

11

Aug 2026

受油价与霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势影响，美联储利率前景承压，黄金企稳于两个月高位附近

金价逼近两个月高位后回落，受油价与霍尔木兹风险扰动，美联储9月加息定价再抬头。CPI/PPI前隐波或升，期权跨式与保护性看跌成焦点。

11

Aug 2026

汇丰银行称美日开展日元支撑操作后美元/日元波动区间或将扩大，实际利率为负限制下行空间

日美财长部7月末协同干预压制USD/JPY并警示再出手：汇丰预计汇价在148-156宽幅震荡，波动率抬升；建议以跨式/铁鹰捕捉波动，警惕空头挤压。

11

Aug 2026

中东风险上升推动石油公司走强；欧洲天然气价格飙升，糖和谷物上涨

地缘扰动重塑大宗风险溢价：油价因美伊预期降温、伊拉克装船下滑走强；柴油裂解飙升；欧洲气价反弹库存告急；糖空回补；乌克兰谷物出口下调推涨。

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