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2

Mar 2026

三菱日联金融集团的李·哈德曼表示，受霍尔木兹海峡供应担忧影响，布伦特原油一度突破82美元，随后跌破80美元

布油冲高82.37后跌破80，市场急盯霍尔木兹海峡：油轮几近停航、排队观望。全球五分之一原油与LNG或受阻，地缘风险溢价恐久留，亚洲欧洲首当其冲。

2

Mar 2026

希腊标普全球制造业PMI从54.2升至54.4，显示制造业状况更为强劲

希腊2月标普全球制造业PMI升至54.4，扩张加速、韧性超预期，显著强于欧元区48.9。做多希腊股指期货、看涨工业与银行期权机会浮现。

2

Mar 2026

汇丰资产管理表示，在贸易和美联储消息的影响下，政策不确定性上升；与此同时，经济增长趋于稳定，通胀逐步缓和

关税与美联储消息推高不确定性，却现“低波动”假象：VIX约20、信用利差低位。增长靠利润与AI投资，通胀回落慢至2026，资金转向价值与新兴市场。

2

Mar 2026

2月，德国HCOB制造业PMI升至50.9，高于预期的50.7

德国制造业PMI升至50.9、超预期，重回扩张！或提振DAX与欧元，压制德国国债价格；关注工业汽车领涨及期权策略把握反弹。

2

Mar 2026

2月，法国HCOB制造业PMI升至50.1，高于预期的49.9

法国2月制造业PMI意外回到50.1重返扩张！通胀降温却令ECB降息更难激进：欧元获支撑，CAC40或缓慢上行，利率降息预期或被重定价。

2

Mar 2026

奥地利2月失业率从8.8%降至8.3%，显示出改善

奥地利2月失业率降至8.3%，劳动力市场收紧或推升工资与通胀，促使欧洲央行更鹰派。关注做空Euribor、ATX看涨及欧元走强机会。

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