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2

Mar 2026

地缘政治紧张局势促使投资者转向更安全的资产，随着中东冲突升级，市场转为规避风险

中东突发升级：美以打击伊朗引发报复，海湾爆炸频传。市场急转避险：黄金逼近5400、美元走强、股指期货下挫；霍尔木兹风险或推高油价。

2

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行的简·福利称，流动性与全球使用应使美元在瑞郎、日元需求之际仍能保持危机避险角色

危机来临资金何处避风？报告称美元凭国债流动性仍是首选避险；瑞郎靠双盈余坚挺；极端压力日元或更稳。期权交易者应布局对冲风险。

2

Mar 2026

根据最新数据，奥地利2月失业人数降至35.75万人，低于此前的37.98万人。

奥地利2月失业降至35.75万，劳动力强于预期点燃行情：看涨ATX与EUR/USD，ECB或推迟降息；可卖Euribor、做空波动，偏向卖宽跨。

2

Mar 2026

英国抵押贷款批准总数为6万笔，低于预期的6.2万笔，表明1月放贷活动弱于预期

英国1月抵押贷款批准仅6万低于预期，楼市降温拖累一季度经济。英镑承压，GBP/USD或下行；英央行更早降息概率升，关注SONIA利率下行机会。

2

Mar 2026

继此前增长0.3%之后，英国M4货币供应量1月环比下降0.1%

英国1月M4环比转负0.1%引警惕：流动性收紧、去通胀显现，降息预期升温。可关注做多SONIA期货、买GBP/USD看跌、偏空FTSE250并用期权布局波动。

2

Mar 2026

英国标普全球制造业PMI低于52的预期，录得51.7，显示工厂增长走弱

英国2月制造业PMI仅51.7低于预期52，扩张放缓警示复苏脆弱。股市或承压，宜用FTSE100保护性看跌期权对冲。英镑受压，可考虑做空GBP/USD或买入看跌期权。

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