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14

Aug 2026

在黄金上涨与债券资金流入推动下，南非兰特领涨中东欧-中东-非洲新兴市场货币，美元/南非兰特逼近16.00

南非兰特本月领跑CEEMEA，兑美元即期升约2.4%、总回报2.7%；逼近16关口，受金价走强、美联储鸽派预期及外资债券231亿兰特净流入驱动，风险偏好仍主导。

14

Aug 2026

金价自周内低点反弹，美元走软与疲弱美国数据削弱美联储加息预期

金价自周内低点4311美元反弹至4372美元，受美元走弱及美联储9月加息预期降温支撑；零售与就业数据偏弱强化增长放缓，关注4386阻力与4000支撑。

14

Aug 2026

欧洲股市收盘持平，霍尔木兹袭击事件和美国对无人机加征关税的影响抵消美国通胀放缓利好

欧洲股市收盘横盘：霍尔木兹遇袭及美对伊“史无前例”制裁、无人机关税升温对冲通胀回落利好；油价走强、美元走弱，期权对冲需求升温。

14

Aug 2026

中国7月人民币贷款转为净偿还，助长市场押注人民币走弱并引发更广泛的风险规避交易

信贷骤转惊雷：7月新增人民币贷款由1.61万亿元降至-3400亿元，净偿还凸显融资需求走弱；市场聚焦广义社融与政策宽松验证，风险资产承压。

14

Aug 2026

香港第二季度GDP萎缩0.6%，市场关注下半年增长动能及股市波动性升温

香港二季度GDP环比降0.6%符合预期，消费与旅游拖累延续。下半年动能存疑，股市上行受限；建议恒指看跌价差、科技股跨式及关注HIBOR衍生品机会。

14

Aug 2026

欧元/美元维持窄幅区间震荡，疲软的美国通胀数据缓和市场对美联储加息预期

EUR/USD现报1.1537，聚焦1.1511–1.1545区间突破信号：上破看1.1570反弹、逢高布空；下破指向1.1492并延伸1.1400。通胀降温压低9月加息概率至35%，警惕霍尔木兹风险波动。

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