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4

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，金价维持在5200美元下方，中东紧张局势下温和涨幅未能持续

金价徘徊5200下方：中东冲突与霍尔木兹封锁推油价、抬通胀预期，美联储或更鹰支撑美元压金；技术面偏弱且波动率高，期权策略成关键。

4

Mar 2026

WTI原油上涨逼近76美元，在中东紧张局势引发买盘之际接近一年高点

突发：WTI飙至76美元，三日连涨超3%。美以伊紧张、霍尔木兹近乎关闭致供应恐慌；美元走弱支撑。波动率OVX破50，期权策略受关注。

4

Mar 2026

意大利1月失业率降至5.1%，优于预期的5.6%，表明劳动力市场状况改善

意大利1月失业率意外降至5.1%，显著好于预期与去年Q4。经济韧性或推升消费，ECB降息更谨慎。关注意股、欧元走强及意债CDS利差收窄机会。

4

Mar 2026

2月欧元区HCOB综合PMI符合预期，报51.9，表明整体商业活动温和扩张

欧元区2月综合PMI 51.9符合预期，连续4个月扩张：软着陆验证、降息更难。股债波动或偏低，欧元受支撑偏强，策略偏卖波动与谨慎做多。

4

Mar 2026

2月，欧元区HCOB服务业PMI升至51.9，略高于51.8的预期值。

欧元区2月服务业PMI 51.9略超预期，经济韧性增强、下行风险降。或促ECB延后降息、利率更久偏高：欧元获支撑，股市偏利好，波动或低。

4

Mar 2026

德国HCOB服务业PMI略高于预期，2月录得53.5，高于预期的53.4

德国2月HCOB服务业PMI升至53.5略超预期，扩张稳健。或缓解衰退担忧、降低ECB降息压力，提振欧元与欧洲股市，关注EUR/USD上破及DAX动能。

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