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5

Mar 2026

爱尔兰季度GDP在第四季度降至-3.8%，较此前的-0.3%进一步恶化

爱尔兰GDP连降成警报：跨国巨头拖累或非短暂，欧元承压、降息预期升温。外汇偏空，期权低波动布局；欧股建议买Euro Stoxx 50看跌对冲。

5

Mar 2026

爱尔兰第四季度GDP年增长率达到2.2%，低于预期的3.4%（据公布数据）

爱尔兰Q4 GDP仅增2.2%低于预期，增长明显放缓：或引发股市回调、欧元走弱与波动上升。关注看跌ISEQ、做空EUR/USD及VSTOXX多头对冲。

5

Mar 2026

天空新闻阿拉伯称，伊朗副外长表示若美国提出有吸引力的条件，伊朗将放弃核计划

伊朗称若美方给出诱人替代条件，愿放弃核计划。消息提振风险偏好：美元指数回落、股指期货小涨、WTI跌至75.7，VIX或续降，油价溢价恐消退。

5

Mar 2026

XAG/USD攀升至每金衡盎司84.52美元，较周三的83.18美元上涨1.62%，数据显示

白银飙至84.52美元、年内涨18.91%，金银比降至61.28：降息预期与美元走弱叠加光伏电子需求推升，但机构多头拥挤、波动偏高，警惕短线回调。

5

Mar 2026

丹斯克银行研究人员指出，欧元区失业率升至6.1%，主要由意大利、西班牙和法国推动，这增强了欧洲央行的鹰派立场

欧元区失业率1月创纪录降至6.1%，强化ECB鹰派想象、降息或推迟至2026。但数据常修订且通胀仍回落，利率波动或加剧，留意利差机会。

5

Mar 2026

在欧洲时段，欧元/加元在持平交投后恢复跌势，受油价上涨打压，徘徊于1.5850附近

中东冲突推高WTI至75美元附近，支撑加元走强，欧元/加元回落至1.5850。欧元承压静待欧元区零售数据，ECB称暂无加息理由。

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