Live Updates

10

Mar 2026

德国商业银行弗里奇称：尽管释放储备且经合组织库存充足，油价仍取决于伊朗及霍尔木兹海峡风险

油价暴冲又回吐：伊朗冲突引爆霍尔木兹封锁忧虑，布伦特/WTI破120。G7暂不释储、页岩增产慢，短期波动或用期权押涨跌并防急挫。

10

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）简·福利称英国风险仍高；能源冲击或推升CPI，限制英伦银行（BoE）放松政策空间

英镑暂稳但别掉以轻心：Rabobank警告能源价格若突涨，年中或推高英国CPI约65个基点至2.7%，压缩英伦银行降息空间，并加剧财政与选举政治风险。

10

Mar 2026

特纳称澳元/美元保持韧性，在股市持稳、澳洲能源出口带动贸易条件改善下跑赢其他货币对

澳元兑美元抗跌有三大底气：股市未现恐慌抛售、澳洲能源出口与贸易条件改善、RBA偏鹰；叠加中国进口超预期，0.7150或迎突破，低波动下可用看涨期权布局。

10

Mar 2026

北欧联合银行（Nordea）Sara Midtgaard称，油气涨势与挪威央行购汇或将短暂推动欧元兑挪威克朗（EUR/NOK）升至11

油价飙升+挪威央行每日买入6亿克朗，NOK有望再获支撑！3月料上调利率路径，EUR/NOK或短跌至11后，三个月回升至11.25。

10

Mar 2026

根据最新数据，美国成屋销售月度达到409万套，高于预期的389万套

美国2月二手房销售年化飙至409万套，远超预期。数据强劲或逼美联储延后降息，利率期货收益率上行；利好建商与银行，但波动与对冲需求升温。

10

Mar 2026

丰业银行称：美元走软带动加元走强，掉期支撑、风险偏好升温及油价疲弱亦提供助力

加元趁美元走软小涨；油价跌压制但风险偏好改善抵消。掉期利差收窄助攻，地缘焦点降温。USD/CAD仍偏离公允1.3375，短线支撑1.35-1.3530。

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