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17

Aug 2026

新西兰食品价格通胀7月放缓，强化市场对新西兰央行降息的预期

新西兰7月食品价格指数环比仅升0.1%，通胀动能显著降温，或推动RBNZ更鸽派并强化降息定价；策略上关注做空NZD、买入短端利率与看跌期权。

17

Aug 2026

新西兰服务业活动小幅回升，抑制市场对新西兰联储降息预期

新西兰BusinessNZ服务业PSI 7月升至50.9略越荣枯线，释放企稳信号：RBNZ降息紧迫性下降，纽元或区间震荡，期权波动率偏高或利于卖权金策略。

15

Aug 2026

投机资金流向显示：黄金净多头头寸激增，WTI原油空头增仓，欧元持仓回落

资金再现分化：黄金净多头猛增至五年95分位，拥挤交易警报拉响；WTI仓位降至8分位与油价背离，轧空或爆发；欧元4分位待反转。

15

Aug 2026

美国国债收益率上升：疲软零售销售拖累美元，地缘政治谨慎情绪下油价趋稳

零售销售意外萎缩引发资产重定价：美债收益率回升、美元指数走弱；地缘风险支撑WTI坚挺。关注SOFR及能源/美元期权对冲，捕捉波动溢价。

15

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索走强推动美元/墨西哥比索跌至两年低点，疲软美国数据降温美联储加息预期

墨西哥比索走强拖累USD/MXN跌破17创两年新低；美零售与信心走弱压制美元、强化9月暂停预期。利差支撑套息，波动率或上行，关注Banxico纪要。

15

Aug 2026

MSCI拟在新的非经营性筛选标准下考虑将Strategy和Metaplanet剔除出全球指数

压轴在此：MSCI拟以“非经营性”框架将BTC金库型Strategy、Metaplanet等自GIMI/ACWI IMI剔除；若通过，或触发被动资金减持、波动率抬升，征求至9月30日。

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