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17

Aug 2026

微型WTI原油守稳于77美元弧形支撑上方，在供应趋紧背景下瞄准反弹上行至93美元附近

微型WTI原油期货日线测试0.786支撑弧，守稳77美元则维持中性偏多，反弹目标93美元；若持续收于77下方，转向100%支撑弧并警惕下探。

17

Aug 2026

新西兰服务业活动维持接近荣枯线，BusinessNZ服务业表现指数（PSI）7月持平于50.6

新西兰BusinessNZ服务业PSI 7月维持50.6，徘徊荣枯线显示复苏乏力；市场降息预期升温，收益率或下行，建议布局bank bill期货及NZD/USD看跌期权。

17

Aug 2026

Rightmove指数显示英国8月房屋要价下跌2%，英镑走弱，降息预期升温

Rightmove 英国房价指数 8 月要价环比下跌 2%，跌幅超季节性并较前值扩大，或强化降息定价，压制英镑，利好 SONIA/国债期货，拖累房企股衍生品。

17

Aug 2026

以色列与真主党相互打击推升地缘政治风险溢价，令原油及波动率交易员保持警戒

以黎空袭再起、加沙谈判胶着推升地缘政治溢价，原油与OVX或再上行；WTI回落难续，建议做多波动率、逢低配置并分散至黄金及避险货币。

17

Aug 2026

新西兰银行卡零售销售回升削弱市场对新西兰联储降息的押注，提升纽元上行空间

新西兰7月电子卡零售销售同比跃升至3.4%，消费韧性突显：RBNZ激进降息预期或再定价，掉期与外汇期权宜增配纽元上行敞口。

17

Aug 2026

新西兰7月银行卡零售销售反弹，令市场对新西兰联储大幅降息的预期降温

新西兰7月电子卡零售环比转升1.3%逆转前值-1.4%，消费韧性提振纽元并缓和RBNZ激进降息预期；关注交叉盘做多及短端利率与曲线再定价。

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