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Live Updates

13

Mar 2026

美国密歇根大学五年期消费者通胀预期降至3.2%，较3月前值3.3%回落

通胀降温信号来了：美国5年通胀预期3月降至3.2%。市场或上调2026年降息押注，利好美债与科技成长，VIX或回落，关注SOFR利率期货与相关衍生品。

13

Mar 2026

3月美国密歇根大学一年期消费者通胀预期持平，维持在3.4%

美国3月1年通胀预期续卡3.4%，高于2%目标，降息或更晚更少；交易员需重估2026定价：偏空SOFR远期、股市防守买NDX保护性看跌，并留意美元走强。

13

Mar 2026

3月，密歇根大学美国消费者预期指数回落至54.1，低于前值56.6

密歇根消费者预期指数3月跌至54.1，悲观升温恐压制可选消费与零售。期权市场或偏防守、对冲波动，降息预期升温——机会来了？

13

Mar 2026

3月，美国密歇根大学消费者信心指数升至55.5，高于预期的55，符合市场预料

密歇根消费者信心3月55.5略胜预期，但仍偏悲观：VIX高企、SPY上行有限。策略可卖价外看涨价差增收，并做多XLP/做空XLY；降息预期升温。

13

Mar 2026

RBC的范克莱尔预计，加拿大劳动力市场在2月就业数据疲弱及失业率上升后，将缓慢复苏

加拿大2月就业再跌8.4万、失业率升至6.7%，参与率创低。人口增速放缓拖累就业，但CUSMA豁免与货币财政支撑，后续或稳住招聘。

13

Mar 2026

澳元/美元跌至约0.7040，美元走强与风险情绪恶化抵消好坏参半的数据影响

AUD/USD回吐高位至0.7040：美元破100、风险偏好降温与油价逼近百元重塑降息预期。澳洲通胀预期升温，期权对冲通胀与波动升温成焦点。

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