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19

Aug 2026

英国房价涨幅降温至2%，借贷成本上升推升降息预期

英国DCLG房价指数6月同比升幅回落至2%，动能显著放缓；高利率降温楼市或倒逼英银转鸽，SONIA期货与英镑、房企衍生品迎交易窗口。

19

Aug 2026

瑞郎走强，美元在7月美联储会议纪要公布前走软，美元/瑞郎测试0.8100支撑位

美元走软叠加避险情绪推升瑞郎，USD/CHF回落至0.8100并关注0.8040支撑。7月FOMC纪要或引爆波动；建议跨式捕捉波动扩张，区间期权如铁鹰应对。

19

Aug 2026

南非7月CPI升至4.3%强化降息预期，提升债券吸引力并重塑兰特对冲策略

南非7月CPI同比4.3%低于预期，通胀动能降温并低于4.5%目标中枢，降息预期升温；FRA/互换收取固定、国债偏多，警惕兰特承压，股市或受益。

19

Aug 2026

欧元/美元逼近1.1600，欧元收益率保持坚挺，市场静待FOMC会议纪要与HICP终值确认

欧元兑美元反弹逼近1.1600，欧债高收益率与美债企稳分化。投资者紧盯FOMC纪要与HICP终值；ZEW改善难掩疲弱，汇价或现战术性做空回撤机会。

19

Aug 2026

英国7月零售物价指数（RPI）同比增速加快至0.6%，强化市场对英国央行（BoE）“高利率维持更久”的押注

英国7月RPI环比升至0.6%超预期，通胀黏性再证；英央行降息预期下修，SONIA与短端Gilts承压，英镑及通胀互换或现交易机会。

19

Aug 2026

随着油价维持坚挺，卢比走弱；印度央行拟提前结束优惠美元掉期操作

油价高企叠加霍尔木兹风险溢价，USD/INR弱势徘徊95.75附近；RBI提前关闭FCNR(B)优惠掉期或收紧流动性，期权布局看向96.12/96.46，同时警惕干预。

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