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24

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购削弱美元并提振避险需求背景下，金价大涨并逼近4,658美元

黄金逼近4658美元刷新阶段高位：美债回购扩容压制美元、财政与地缘风险推升避险；但长端收益率高企与PCE、杰克逊霍尔事件或放大波动。

24

Aug 2026

美元持稳，受美国国债收益率压制举措及货币贬值担忧影响，事件驱动型下行风险加剧

美元开盘持稳但偏空：财政部遏制长端收益率与“美元稀释”叙事升温；伊朗“经济D日”及沃什讲话成催化。油价或引发美元瞬反，美债收益率上行风险加剧。

24

Aug 2026

欧元/日元企稳于185.70附近，日本通胀回升推升日本央行加息预期，欧洲央行收紧政策前景在即

EUR/JPY徘徊185.70；日本CPI走强推升BoJ9月加息定价至82%，ECB9月加息概率95%。警惕波动抬升，期权可布局短期限跨式并对冲套息敞口。

24

Aug 2026

大华银行预计，随着收益率差收窄，美元兑日元将维持区间震荡，略偏下行

美元/日元短线仍陷158.55-159.30箱体，方向信号匮乏；UOB中期略偏空，回落受限156.60-159.60。策略上宜售出虚值期权收息，逢上沿轻空防干预。

24

Aug 2026

受收益率控制担忧冲击科技股拖累，美国股市本周下挫；欧洲股市受益于“欧洲杯”带动表现改善

美股尾盘回升但周线收跌，强数据与英伟达预期促空头回补；“贝森特期权”压收益率若失效将抬升AI巨头融资成本。资金或“卖出美国”转向欧股，STOXX600在EPS反弹支撑下仍存约3%上行。

24

Aug 2026

美元走软：英伟达财报与杰克逊霍尔年会临近，比特币与以太坊守住关键支撑位

美元偏弱、权益横盘整固，焦点转向英伟达财报与杰克逊霍尔，或触发波动率抬升。比特币、以太坊守住50周均线偏多；DXY逼近100.50支撑，金属偏强。

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