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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

原油上涨：对伊朗制裁重启推升霍尔木兹海峡供应风险

美国收紧伊朗原油许可并触发霍尔木兹航运风险，WTI突破71美元、风险溢价抬升；但OPEC+增产与海湾出口修复或压制上行空间。

Written on July 8, 2026 at 7:24 am
Categories: Today's Analysis

伊朗打击行动推升美元，英镑/美元走低；美联储会议纪要及英国领导人竞选成市场焦点

Neon-glass euro symbol in the foreground with a dark trading chart (candlesticks and lines) in the background, conveying European finance.

英镑/美元回落至1.3355，受中东冲突升级推升美元及美联储纪要预期影响；隐含波动率走高，短线偏空并配置期权对冲，关注英国政局明朗化。

Written on July 8, 2026 at 7:00 am
Categories: Live Updates

新西兰联储维持官方现金利率在2.5%不变，投资者关注政策指引及纽元期权机会

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

RBNZ维持OCR于2.5%符合预期，市场焦点转向前瞻指引与政策停留期；通胀2.8%、GDP温增、失业低支撑观望。关注美数据，NZD或缓跌，期权收息与曲线趋平成主线。

Written on July 8, 2026 at 6:59 am
Categories: Live Updates

美元/加元徘徊于1.4200附近，FOMC会议纪要与伊朗紧张局势提振美元，油价走强支撑加元

USD/CAD反弹至1.4200，市场聚焦沃什任内首份纪要。避险美元获撑、加息预期降温；霍尔木兹冲突推油价走强利多加元，政策分化或放大波动。

Written on July 8, 2026 at 6:29 am
Categories: Live Updates

日本5月国际收支贸易顺差收窄至69亿日元，预示日元再度承压

Neon-lit bonsai money tree in a pot, with glowing yen symbols floating among the leaves.

日本5月BOP贸易顺差骤缩至69亿日元、近乎持平，警示日元基本面转弱并利多美元/日元上行；能源进口升、外需降温，建议布局美元/日元看涨期权与日经波动率长跨式。

Written on July 8, 2026 at 5:59 am
Categories: Live Updates

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