About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

特朗普在8月非农就业数据超预期后敦促美联储加大降息力度，并将货币政策与贸易威胁挂钩

Policy document with a pen resting on it, as if about to sign.

非农新增16.2万超预期，特朗普再施压美联储激进降息并以贸易中断相威胁，政策摩擦或推升波动；建议VIX看涨、SOFR期权及美元看涨/跨式对冲。

Written on September 4, 2026 at 7:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国就业激增推升美联储9月加息概率，欧元/美元跌破1.16

Modern building at night with pink neon vertical lights along tall glass towers in a dark sky.

美国就业强劲再燃9月加息押注：期货定价约60%，美元走强致欧元/美元失守1.16；Warsh鹰派与高收益率强化预期，市场聚焦下周CPI定调。

Written on September 4, 2026 at 7:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

加拿大Ivey采购经理指数（PMI）飙升至64.3，超预期并重塑加元及利率预期

Transparent safe with a dollar sign, set against glowing stock charts, symbolizing financial security.

S&P Global加拿大艾维PMI 8月飙至64.3，大幅超预期56.2，释放未计价扩张信号：加元偏强、短端利率上行压力增，关注能源板块期权与就业验证。

Written on September 4, 2026 at 6:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国非农就业人数超预期；CPI公布前美联储9月加息概率小幅上升

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

8月非农新增16.2万、失业率4.1%推升9月加息预期至16bp；市场聚焦CPI（整体0.4%、核心0.2%）。策略：做空SOFR、买美元、TLT期权跨式。

Written on September 4, 2026 at 5:26 pm
Categories: Live Updates

英镑跌幅收窄：美国强劲就业数据提振美元，美联储加息预期保持坚挺

3D glossy euro symbol (€) with purple-pink neon glow on a dark background.

美国非农超预期推升美元后回落，镑美自1.3482反弹至1.3512。FedWatch加息概率升至60%，关注CPI/PPI。建议铁鹰、跨式与虚值看涨对冲波动。

Written on September 4, 2026 at 5:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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