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18

Mar 2026

德国商业银行分析师称，墨西哥比索或跑赢巴西雷亚尔，后者下行风险更大

德国商业银行警告：雷亚尔急升后恐转弱，因巴西料大幅降息、利差收窄叠加增长放缓与政治风险；墨西哥降息近尾声，USMCA利好或撑比索。

18

Mar 2026

市场静待联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC），美元指数回落0.20%，100.00关口未能守住，逐步回撤至99.50–99.60区域

DXY回落至99.5区间、100关口受阻，两根K线示弱。全市场押注美联储点阵图：若删2026降息美元或冲100.5；保留降息恐探99与98.4支撑。油价与中东风险推高波动。

18

Mar 2026

美国20年期国债标售收益率上升，最新拍卖升至4.817%，高于此前的4.664%

美20年期美债拍卖惨淡，得标收益率飙至4.817%（升15.3bp）。市场重估降息、通胀更黏，长端利率或续扬：债价承压、科技成长股受挫，美元与波动率或走高。

18

Mar 2026

美国股市连续第二个交易日小幅走高；美联储决议临近，道指逼近4.7万点

美股续涨但FOMC前谨慎，道指逼近4.7万。伊朗冲突推油价重返100美元，能源领涨；点阵图与SEP左右降息预期，市场转向2026年才降息。

18

Mar 2026

法国巴黎银行强调土耳其在能源价格方面的脆弱性、汇率传导效应、收益率攀升及市场对政策进一步收紧的预期

法巴警告：土耳其对油价与汇率最敏感，传导系数0.4推升通胀；央行干预仅暂稳里拉，债息飙升。交易员可做多USD/TRY波动率，押注突破。

18

Mar 2026

纽元/美元徘徊于0.5860附近，在美元持稳、美联储表态及中东紧张局势压制市场情绪下小幅走低

纽元/美元守0.5860但风险偏好降温；中东战事推高油价、通胀再忧。市场盯美联储与鲍威尔鹰派信号，以及纽西兰Q4 GDP，左右短线方向。

17

Mar 2026

WTI油价在早前涨势后回落，交易员权衡美伊冲突进展与霍尔木兹海峡供应中断风险

中东战火牵动油市：WTI 回吐至94.85美元。伊朗锁定波斯湾设施，霍尔木兹海峡仍通行但风险升温；OVX偏高，跨式/宽跨式与价差策略可捕捉震荡。

17

Mar 2026

白银跌至79美元，油价走高，尽管美元与美债收益率走弱；风险偏好回升下周度跌幅扩大

白银周二跌近2%至79.13美元，周跌1.81%；油价与中东冲突推升通胀忧虑压制金属。技术转弱、78成关键。隐波冲45%，关注长跨式、75看跌及领口防守。

17

Mar 2026

英镑/美元徘徊在1.3350附近，投资者在美联储与英国央行决议前避开美元，推动涨势延续

英镑/美元靠近1.3350走强，市场先减美元仓等Fed与BoE定调。英英通胀高压令BoE或更鹰，利差利多英镑；可用1.30看涨期权捕捉升幅，但隐波高、权利金贵。

17

Mar 2026

阿尔塞诺表示，加拿大家庭净资产在2025年创下历史新高，资产增速超越信贷增长

加拿大统计局：2025年家庭净资产飙升5.8%创新高！房产几乎不涨(-0.2%)，全靠金融资产大增10.5%与股市回报31.7%撑场；家庭信贷仅增4.4%。

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