Live Updates

18

Mar 2026

美国每周API原油库存增加660万桶，远高于3月市场预期的减少60万桶

API爆冷：美国截至3月13日当周原油库存暴增660万桶，远高于预期减60万桶，供应过剩偏空压油价；可关注Put与75美元支撑，待EIA确认。

18

Mar 2026

美联储决议公布前，美元/瑞郎北美时段交投于0.7850附近，下跌0.20%

美联储决议前，USD/CHF回落至0.7850，100日SMA压制。上破0.7900看0.8000/0.8108；失守0.7800恐探0.7700/0.7601。期权：买0.8000Call博突破，0.7750Put对冲下跌风险。

18

Mar 2026

纽元/美元反弹至0.5860附近，中东冲突升级与美联储会议前紧张情绪打压美元

中东战事升温拖累美元，纽美回稳至0.5860：关注周三美联储预测与鲍威尔讲话、美国招聘降温、油价通胀风险，以及纽西兰GDP与RBNZ利差走向。

18

Mar 2026

OCBC策略师称美元/泰铢月涨4%，油价走高及美联储降息预期降温推动上行风险

USD/THB本月飙逾4%：美联储降息预期降温+油价破95美元压泰铢。虽技术超买仍偏多美元。关注32.10/31.90支撑，期权37看涨捕捉延续。

18

Mar 2026

尽管美元走弱、美债收益率下滑，金价仍在5000美元附近盘整，油价走高下金价微跌0.11%

金价在5,000美元附近小跌至4,996，美元与美债收益率回落仍无力支撑；伊朗冲突推油价上行施压。聚焦美联储决议，期权隐波升温，警惕突破5,050或跌破4,952。

18

Mar 2026

道明证券称，准财政刺激推动中国2026年初投资反弹，缓冲油价冲击

2026年中国开局回暖，准财政拉动投资，制造与出口领跑。中东推升油价挤压利润，稳增长更倚财政。若特朗普取消访华，关税疑云或引爆市场波动。

18

Mar 2026

1月，美国月度预算赤字进一步扩大，从950亿美元增至3080亿美元

赤字一夜暴冲：美国1月预算缺口扩至3080亿美元，国债供给压垮需求推高收益率；Fed降息更难、VIX或低估，科技估值承压；双赤字使美元趋弱。

18

Mar 2026

美联储决议前夕，中东紧张局势引发谨慎情绪，美元连续第二日走弱

美元连跌、DXY守99.60；联储决议与特朗普伊朗言论压制。RBA意外加息推澳元，油因霍尔木兹风险飙，黄金创新高，央行周密集来袭。

18

Mar 2026

欧元/美元走高，美元走软，交易员静待美联储与欧洲央行政策更新

EUR/USD 连涨两日逼近1.1546，美元指数跌破100回落。焦点转向美联储点阵图与ECB决议；油价推升通胀风险，市场降息押注降温，欧元区新CPI成关键。

18

Mar 2026

大华银行经济学家表示，全球油气价格上涨正推动泰国面临成本推动型通胀风险

油价走高或把泰国从低通胀推向成本冲击：UOB维持2026年GDP 1.8%、CPI -0.3%但概率降；贸易逆差扩大，泰铢偏弱、SET承压，宜对冲。

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