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Live Updates

19

Mar 2026

美联储言论偏鹰，道指与标普期货持稳，纳指期货在欧洲时段小幅走低

美股期货偏弱：联储暗示高利率更久，PPI超预期、油价破95美元推升通胀与VIX。降息或延后，纳指承压，价值股与期权对冲成焦点。

19

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行的菲利普·马雷表示，美联储维持利率不变，尽管通胀更高，2026年预测仍暗示将降息两次

伊朗战事推高油价、搅动降息预期！美联储按兵不动仍只指向2026降一次；荷银改预测：2026仅降两次（9月、12月），警告冲突升级或再砍一次。

19

Mar 2026

能源及其他板块推动标普500指数2026年第一季盈利增长12%、营收增长8.6%，延续此前涨势

中东冲突推升油价，标普500 2026年Q1盈利料+12%、营收+8.6%。科技盈利飙+24.6%成关键；能源与金融预测上修，期权与配对交易或迎机会。

19

Mar 2026

美联储带动美元企稳后，市场焦点转向即将公布的欧洲央行与英国央行决策

美元受美联储“利率更高、更久”支撑走强，市场紧盯SNB/BoE/ECB与初请数据。日元干预风险升温。黄金失守5000、油价震荡；期权布局成焦点。

19

Mar 2026

德意志银行预期欧洲央行将维持利率不变，指油价驱动的不确定性及伊朗冲突下短期通胀上行风险增加

油价因伊朗冲突飙升，德银料ECB按兵不动但口风转鹰：强调通胀风险与不确定性。市场已押注7月起加息、欧元或走强，波动交易升温。

19

Mar 2026

瑞士月度进口额从此前的184.11亿瑞郎降至173.80亿瑞郎，显示2月份出现下滑

瑞士2月进口降至173.8亿、按月少10.31亿，映射需求降温。通胀仅1.4%促SNB转鸽与减息预期升温，瑞郎承压、SMI情绪受拖累，可策EUR/CHF看涨期权。

19

Mar 2026

瑞士2月月度出口下滑，由前值22,229百万降至本次21,584百万

瑞士2月出口环比降645M至21,584M，经济放缓信号浮现。瑞郎转弱与波动升温可期：关注USD/CHF、EUR/CHF看涨期权，以及SMI看跌与短期限跨式/宽跨式布局。

19

Mar 2026

2月英国申领失业救济人数比率维持在4.4%，失业救济申领人数无变化

英国2月申领人数比例维持4.4%：表面稳定、实为停滞。GDP仅增0.1%、通胀回落至2.8%，英央行或下半年降息；料英镑偏弱、股市上行受限。

19

Mar 2026

英国薪资增速降至3.8%，失业率维持5.2%，新增就业8.4万人——英国国家统计局（ONS）报告

英国失业率守在5.2%低于预期，就业增8.4万；但基本工资增速降至3.8%拖累英镑，GBP/USD回落1.3250，市场聚焦英银利率立场转鸽。

19

Mar 2026

瑞士贸易顺差扩大至42.04亿，较此前的38.18亿上升；2月份数据显示出口相对进口有所改善

瑞士2月贸易顺差意外扩大至42亿瑞郎，出口强、药品手表带动；瑞郎获支撑，未来或续走强。交易者可布局CHF看涨，EUR/CHF若破0.9650或看0.9500。SNB降息预期降温。

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