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Live Updates

19

Mar 2026

英国就业人数在截至1月的三个月内增加8.4万人，超出此前预估的5.2万人

英国1月新增就业8.4万人飙升、通胀3.1%与GDP回稳叠加，逼英央行重估鸽派；SONIA降息押注降温，英镑获支撑，股市估值承压但银行或受益。

19

Mar 2026

最新数据显示，荷兰经季节性调整的三个月失业率从4%上升至4.1%

荷兰失业率曾升至4.1%引发衰退与ECB转鸽预期，但现已回落至3.8%、欧元区核心通胀降至1.9%。复苏确认下，可减衰退对冲，关注AEX波动回落后的期权策略调整。

19

Mar 2026

尽管市场预期美联储将暂停加息，XAG/USD依然疲弱，在触及月度低点后徘徊于75.50附近

白银跌至月内新低75.50美元后反弹乏力；市场押注美联储高利率维持更久，美债收益率走高、美元偏强压制需求。关注78阻力、72支撑，地缘风险或触发急升。

19

Mar 2026

央行简报会前，英镑/日元回吐亚洲时段早前涨幅，跌破212.00至区间低位

GBP/JPY亚盘冲高212.35后回落，市场静待英央行决议。中东冲突推升油价，降息预期退潮甚至计入11月加息；日银正常化与避险需求撑日元，短线偏震荡。

19

Mar 2026

尽管美联储立场偏鹰派，美元指数在此前上涨后回吐部分涨幅，徘徊在100.10附近

美元指数靠近100徘徊：美联储按兵不动但偏鹰，鲍威尔称通胀回落或更慢；油价与地缘风险推升通胀；2月PPI超预期，降息或延后。

19

Mar 2026

英镑/美元在欧洲早盘小幅走高，逼近1.3290，但中东紧张局势与美联储鹰派立场限制涨幅

英镑/美元回升至1.3290，但中东冲突推油价近100美元、美元走强压制反弹。聚焦英国就业与英银决议，波动或放大；美联储鹰派偏空英镑。

19

Mar 2026

英国央行决议前，英镑升向1.3290，但中东紧张局势与鹰派美联储限制涨幅

中东冲突推油价逼近100美元、避险助美元走强；英镑/美元守1.3290，聚焦英就业与英银决议。美联储偏鹰，市场押注英银6月起降息，料英镑承压，期权可布局波动或看跌。

19

Mar 2026

亚洲时段，美元/瑞郎随美元回落而缓步下探至0.7910，市场关注瑞士央行政策动向

美元走软令USD/CHF回落至0.7910，但市场仍押注美联储更晚降息；SNB或维持零利率、甚至负利率。政策分化+利差交易，买入看涨期权捕捉再上行。

19

Mar 2026

欧元/日元回升至183.30附近收复跌幅；日本央行维持利率在0.75%，日元走软

欧元/日元收复跌幅至183.30：日银8:1维持0.75%令日元转弱。市场转盯欧央行决议，料存款利率守2.0%，降息押注降温、两次加息预期升温。

19

Mar 2026

亚洲交易时段，欧元/美元收复此前跌幅，徘徊于1.1490附近，处于下行通道内偏空走势

欧元/美元亚洲盘反弹至1.1490仍处下降通道，RSI 37偏空，受制9日与50日EMA。支撑1.1411与1.1310；阻力1.1526与1.1600，破位才有望转势。

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