Live Updates

19

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行的斯特凡·库普曼表示，英伦银行将利率维持在3.75%不变，但在能源因素推动的通胀担忧再度升温之际，释放鹰派信号

英伦银行利率维持3.75%却转更鹰：能源再冲击推升通胀预期，MPC警告随时出手。Rabobank料4月仅加息25bp，但紧缩恐压需求、加剧贸易条件挤压。

19

Mar 2026

道明证券表示，英国央行立场转鹰、撤除宽松倾向，令英镑兑美元小幅走高

BoE意外转鹰、撤销宽松倾向并警惕冲突推升通胀，加息可能升温；但避险情绪与增长忧虑压制英镑/美元。油价异常波动恐再推高通胀与利率联动。

19

Mar 2026

美国能源信息署（EIA）报告：截至3月13日，美国天然气库存增加350亿立方英尺，低于预期的390亿立方英尺

EIA天然气库存提取仅35B低于预期39B，利空需求。现库2250Bcf超五年均值25%压价；干气105Bcf/d对峙LNG进气14Bcf/d托底，行情或区间震荡，宜卖权利金策略。

19

Mar 2026

澳元/美元升近0.7050，澳洲就业增长提振澳元，尽管失业率上升，涨幅受限

澳元/美元受澳洲就业强劲支撑，但失业率升温令RBA前景更不明；美联储拒急降息压制上行。波动率走高，跨式或牛市价差成交易焦点。

19

Mar 2026

汇丰策略师称，美联储将利率维持在3.50%至3.75%，在采取行动前等待通胀走势更明朗

美联储3月按兵不动并转向观望；汇丰料利率至2027年不变。能源价与地缘风险或推升通胀、支撑美元与避险需求，建议超配股票、投资级债、新兴本币债及黄金。

19

Mar 2026

拉加德在3月会议上阐述欧洲央行维持利率不变的决定，并回应记者有关未来政策走向的提问

欧央行3月按兵不动，拉加德警告战事推高通胀、压制增长；仍“看数据”。VSTOXX飙升，市场备战大波动，跨式/宽跨式期权成热门对冲布局。

19

Mar 2026

拉加德解释欧洲央行维持利率不变，强调关注大宗商品监测与供应瓶颈，并回应记者提问

拉加德：ECB 3月按兵不动，紧盯大宗、供应瓶颈、定价、需求与工资。油气波动推高通胀，降息概率低；可卖原油call、关注高气库存，并空短端利率、买欧股put对冲回调。

19

Mar 2026

欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，维持利率不变让央行为可能出现的重大冲击做好准备

重磅：拉加德一致维持利率不变，却不给时间表；中东战事收紧金融条件、油价飙升推高波动。可布局Euro Stoxx 50跨式、Euribor期货与深度价外看跌对冲。

19

Mar 2026

据荷兰国际集团（ING）卡斯滕·布热斯基称，尽管中东战事与油价上升，欧洲央行仍维持利率不变

中东战事推高油价，欧央行仍按兵不动：利率维持不变并暗示短期不加息。政策更谨慎，视能源涨价为供给冲击，先观望；市场降息/加息预期再洗牌。

19

Mar 2026

欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，长期战争或令能源价格维持高位，利率保持不变

拉加德称ECB按兵不动：服务业撑增长、投资或回升，但战争推高能源与通胀风险。市场或持续高波动，警惕年内转鹰重定价，交易可布局跨式与利率对冲。

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