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20

Mar 2026

中东冲突升级与油价攀升引发避险情绪，美元走强推动英镑/美元跌破1.3350

中东冲突推高油价、通胀忧虑升温，美元走强压制英镑：GBP/USD自1.3442回落跌破1.3350。英银按兵不动，Fed降息预期延后至2026。市场紧盯下周PMI与英美通胀数据。

20

Mar 2026

地缘政治紧张局势引发避险买盘，尽管澳洲利率政策偏支撑，澳元/美元仍升至0.7040

避险情绪突袭！澳元/美元跌至0.7040附近，周五挫0.68%。中东冲突推高能源忧虑，美元与美债收益率走强压制澳元；RBA再加息仍警惕通胀。

20

Mar 2026

美元/加元自低位回升，受加拿大零售销售疲软及美元走强支撑推动

美元/加元周五V形反弹：加国1月零售销售低于预期、需求偏弱；美元指数震荡回升撑汇价。央行与美联储按兵不动，能源与政策分化成关键。

20

Mar 2026

北欧联合银行（Nordea）萨拉·米德特高德表示，美联储维持利率不变，并释放逐步宽松信号，未来或将以每次25个基点降息

美联储利率维持3.5%–3.75%不变，降息或拖至2026后且步伐缓慢；核心通胀仍高、就业有韧性，市场偏“高利率更久”，建议卖波动率并以原油/VIX虚值看涨对冲地缘风险。

20

Mar 2026

五角大楼派遣加州驻扎的“拳师”号两栖攻击舰海军陆战队（约2,200至2,500人）及第11远征队（11th MEU），连同三艘军舰前往中东

五角大楼拟派2,200至2,500名陆战队赴中东、三舰随行，避险升温拖累美股；美元偏强、VIX徘徊18。交易者关注SPX/QQQ认沽、VIX工具与原油期权对冲。

20

Mar 2026

丰业银行策略师称，在风险情绪脆弱之际，G10货币重演此前美伊冲突期间走势，美元全线走强

冲突升级叠加央行转向，美元全面走强、DXY上破107.50！G10重回避险模式，债券收益率急重定价，油价分化；策略建议布局美元续涨、看涨期权或期货。

20

Mar 2026

丰业银行称：加元兑美元小幅走高，收益率利差收窄、加拿大央行立场偏温和，加元领涨G10货币

加元逆势领跑G10，小幅走强！收益率利差收窄成关键推手，加央行会议影响有限。若加息预期重估，USDCAD或回落；公允价值约1.34，1.37阻力明显。

20

Mar 2026

随着欧洲央行与英伦银行公布政策决议后，EUR/GBP走高，市场权衡利率决定与通胀前景

EUR/GBP 周五反弹却仍困区间：ECB、BoE 按兵不动，战争推高能源通胀风险。ECB 不预设路径并下调增长；市场押注 ECB 最迟7月加息、BoE 4月概率50%。

20

Mar 2026

美联储官员沃勒称无须加息，尽管通胀担忧盖过就业数据

联储官员Waller警告：劳动力增速或趋零，就业零增长也能稳失业；油价高企恐推升核心通胀，关税添压。拟观望后再评估降息，无意加息，并关注缩表与准备金安排。

20

Mar 2026

三巫日来临前，E-Mini道指期货在多次下跌后或在45,780附近获得短暂支撑

三巫日前E-迷你道琼斯连跌，盯紧45,780枢轴低点；失守恐下探45,286“阻力转支撑”与趋势线共振区，或触发空头回补，波动料放大。

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