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Live Updates

20

Mar 2026

在英格兰银行推动英镑大涨后，GBP/USD 回吐涨幅，交投于 1.3380 附近，下跌 0.39%

英镑/美元周五回落至1.3380，日跌0.39%，因美元反弹引发技术性修正。英伦银行维持利率3.75%不变且9-0一致，为后续通胀应对埋下变数。

20

Mar 2026

美元/日元反弹至158.70，美元走强回归，但日本央行鹰派立场限制涨幅

美元/日元跌深反弹至158.70，逼近159关口！联储高利率预期、中东紧张推升美元流动性需求；日央行偏鹰限制日元跌幅，160或引发干预与波动策略机会。

20

Mar 2026

加拿大2月年度新屋价格下跌2.1%，跌幅较前值2.3%收窄

加拿大2月新屋价格指数年跌2.1%，跌幅收窄释放房市触底信号。央行或转向观望，降息预期降温，利好加元、银行与住宅REITs，看涨期权可布局。

20

Mar 2026

加拿大2月新屋价格指数按月上升0.3%，优于预期的下跌0.3%

加拿大2月新屋价格指数MoM升0.3%，远胜预期跌0.3%。数据打脸“央行快降息”，CORRA期货急重定价，降息押注恐撤。加元获撑、或转强。可买CAD看涨或做空USD/CAD。

20

Mar 2026

加拿大1月月度零售销售增长1.1%，较1.5%的预测低0.4个百分点

加拿大零售1月仅增1.1%逊预期，消费与房市同步降温，拖累加元跌破0.7200。可布局USD/CAD看涨、做多加债期货，并以零售/可选消费看跌期权对冲。

20

Mar 2026

加拿大1月零售销售（不含汽车）增长0.8%，低于预期的1.2%月增幅

加拿大零售销售逊预期，需求降温迹象浮现，叠加通胀回落与失业上升，市场押注加拿大央行夏前降息。加元承压，USD/CAD破1.3700，期权布局与股市对冲受关注。

20

Mar 2026

2月加拿大工业产品价格指数环比上涨0.4%，低于预期的1.1%涨幅

加拿大2月IPPI仅升0.4%，远低预期1.1%！通胀降温加快，央行或更早降息；利率、加元与股市波动机会浮现，可用BAX、期权与ETF布局。

20

Mar 2026

2月加拿大原材料价格指数（RMPI）录得0.6%，低于预期的2.4%

加拿大2月RMPI仅升0.6%远低预期，显示上游通胀快速降温，强化央行紧缩见效信号；市场或提前押注年中降息，债券收益率看跌。加美利差扩，加元偏弱。

20

Mar 2026

华侨银行新加坡银行总执行长沈慕雄：伊朗紧张局势一度令原油逼近每桶120美元，供应保证下随后回落

伊朗袭击推油价逼近120美元后回落。OCBC料布油年中前守100美元，2027初降至70。霍尔木兹风险难补；美释储压顶，期权价差与对冲成焦点。

20

Mar 2026

华侨银行（OCBC）黄克里斯托弗：金价短期承压；美债收益率走高、通胀担忧引发资金外流与抛售清仓

金价回落：美债收益率飙升、通胀顽固与油价走高削弱降息预期，黄金ETF撤资加剧抛压。短线料震荡难续涨；中期仍获地缘与央行买盘支撑。

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