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Live Updates

10

Sep 2026

油价走强拖累股市下挫；美国通胀数据与美联储会议前，欧洲被视为风险敞口最大

油价飙升引爆风险资产抛售，9月“魔咒”再现；欧洲因能源进口依赖更受伤。美国通胀数据与联储议息在即，若通胀高、再加息，股市或再探底。

9

Sep 2026

美元/日元守在153.50附近，美债回购推高收益率，日央行加息押注支撑日元

美元一度跌破153、回到153.5附近；美债回购推升收益率令美元短反弹，但日银加息预期支撑日元。关注PPI/CPI与波动率，建议买入看跌与做多跨式。

9

Sep 2026

日元走强，美元/日元逼近153支撑位，市场静待日本央行利率决议

日元升势升温：USD/JPY回落逼近153支撑。市场押注9月18日日银加息25bp，空头回补或触发挤压，跌破153恐试152；155成阻力，期权做空更稳。

9

Sep 2026

BDC申报文件显示加息带来意外之财，但PIK上升与到期压力令信贷前景蒙阴

加息预期升温：七大BDC测算每升息100bp净利+3.67亿美元，ARCC领跑。惟PIK与不计息资产攀升、2028再融资墙逼近；短炒看涨，长线防信用恶化。

9

Sep 2026

尽管进行60亿美元长年期回购，美债收益率仍攀升；美元走强，金价回落

美债回购60亿美元仍压不住卖盘：10年期4.85%、30年期5.30%逼近危机前高位。衍生品宜做空长久期债；美元看100，黄金承压回吐。

9

Sep 2026

巴西雷亚尔涨势料仅昙花一现：利差收窄与财政压力推升美元/雷亚尔至5.35

雷亚尔一周升1.26%至5.13，但只是“诱多”？美利率高位、利差收窄与财政隐忧或致BRL转弱；建议趁强买USD/BRL看涨期权/期货，目标2026年底5.35。

9

Sep 2026

英镑在一周高位附近企稳，因市场押注英伦银行将收紧政策升温，预算风险仍挥之不去

GBP/USD 北美盘企稳靠近周高，英镑受 BoE 紧缩预期与油价敏感性支撑；虽下周偏停，但已计入年内再升息。技术偏多，阻1.3650、撑1.3480。

9

Sep 2026

美元/瑞郎走低，日元反弹拖累美元；油价飙升与美国通胀数据成焦点

美元/瑞郎跌至0.8078，日元走强与中东冲突推高油价压制美元；美债息4.80%、PPI/CPI与9月议息在即。交易员宜用期权对冲波动与央行干预风险。

9

Sep 2026

道明证券指出，在市场计入美联储加息预期、需求保持韧性之际，通胀数据将成为推动金价的关键催化剂

美联储加息预期升温，金价仍坚挺！关键看即将公布的美国CPI：偏高或引发短线回调，偏低或推升新高；央行买盘、ETF流入与美元贬值支撑后市。

9

Sep 2026

欧元兑美元守在一周高位附近，油价走强提振市场对欧洲央行收紧政策的押注

欧元兑美元冲击一周高位：油价走强推升通胀担忧，市场押注ECB本周加息25bp、12月再加。RSI转强、阻力1.1680/1.1700，隐波6.2%低，宜偏多期权布局。

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