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Live Updates

12

Sep 2026

美元/新元反弹提振短线走势偏向，但1.2705阻力料限制上行空间

USD/SGD 意外反弹至1.2686，动能转多但受阻1.2695/1.2705。守住1.2640仍看上行；MAS偏紧支撑新元，建议区间期权策略应对突破风险。

12

Sep 2026

美国通胀数据推升美联储加息预期，美元/瑞郎走高，目标指向0.8200及以上

美国 CPI、PPI 强劲推升 USD/CHF 反弹站上 0.8156，市场押注下周美联储加息概率超 65%。技术面偏多，突破 0.8200 看 0.8250/0.8300；跌破 0.8096 转弱。

12

Sep 2026

星展银行预计台湾央行9月将按兵不动，并释放12月升息至2.125%的信号

星展预测台湾央行9/17按兵不动，但12月或升息至2.125%。通胀放缓仍存供给与工资二轮风险；台币料波动，交易员可布局TWD偏强与短端互换付固定。

12

Sep 2026

在原油库存紧张之际，海湾国家寻求就霍尔木兹海峡航运达成协议，WTI下滑逼近97美元

油价突跌3.4%是抄底信号？WTI至97美元，霍尔木兹通行锐减、库存大降5.07亿桶支撑偏紧；关注9/16加息与CPI黏性，95.5上方偏多。

12

Sep 2026

市场关注美联储加息前景，日本央行收紧政策，英伦银行按兵不动，新兴市场走势分化

下周FOMC料加息25基点至3.75%–4.00%，消费韧性与楼市转弱并存。机会：空SOFR、买可选消费call/建商put；押日银加息、英银鹰派暂停，布局日元与GBP/USD、巴西降息。

12

Sep 2026

美国8月预算赤字收窄至1668亿美元，缓解对美国国债供应的担忧

美国8月预算赤字1668亿美元，远低预期4040亿，暗示供债压力降、收益率或回落，利多美债与股市；把握TLT/ZN多头、标普牛市价差及DXY看涨机会。

12

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着套息交易平仓，投机者转为日元净多仓

日元CFTC非商业持仓从净空-92.2K强势翻多至+10.8K，逾10万张大逆转！套利交易加速平仓，USD/JPY下行结构与日元看涨期权或迎主升浪。

12

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，黄金投机净多头小幅升至23.2万手

黄金投机多头再加码！CFTC显示非商业净持仓由228.1K升至232K，反映最新报告期投机力量温和扩张，市场风险偏好略回暖、金价情绪偏多。

12

Sep 2026

澳大利亚CFTC数据显示：澳元净空头从3.94万张降至3.49万张

澳洲CFTC报告：AUD非商业净持仓从-39.4K回升至-34.9K，空头收敛但仍为净空头。看空押注减少，尚未转为净多头，市场情绪仍偏谨慎。

12

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，随着投机者加码做空英镑，英镑空头仓位进一步加深

CFTC最新显示英镑非商业净持仓再转深负值，净空头扩至-58.8k。空头加码映射降息预期与增长疲弱，GBP/USD或下探1.28，期权与止损宜先布局。

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