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14

Sep 2026

加拿大7月制造业销售下滑0.4%，不及预期并拖累加元

加拿大7月制造业销售按月跌0.4%逊预期，活动放缓拖累加元。市场押注10月降息机率75%，债券偏多；股市留意工业、原材料板块下行风险。

14

Sep 2026

沙特管道停运与霍尔木兹海峡受阻推高布伦特油价波动风险，并加剧通胀与收益率担忧

沙特东西向管道遇袭停运、霍尔木兹与曼德海峡风险升温，原油供应警报拉响。布伦特回调或有限；建议用价外看涨、跨式与牛市价差布局波动，并防通胀外溢冲击。

14

Sep 2026

在波兰数据公布前，市场聚焦捷克利率决议，关注捷克央行（CNB）指引与欧元/捷克克朗（EUR/CZK）走势

中东欧本周数据密集，焦点在周四捷克央行料按兵3.75%及前瞻指引、周五波兰工业产出。能源价与美元或左右EUR/CZK，目标24.30附近。

14

Sep 2026

美国通胀回升推高美联储加息几率并提振美元与美债收益率，金价下滑

黄金开局急挫至4285美元，CPI升温推高联储加息概率至86%，美元与美债收益率走强压制金价；油价飙升叠加地缘扰动，技术面警惕跌破4271后或探4150。

14

Sep 2026

施纳贝尔警告能源推动的通胀风险，欧洲央行权衡进一步加息，欧元维持疲弱

能源价飙令欧央行官员警觉：柴油裂解价差高企、炼油产能下滑加剧通胀风险，或促再加息并重定价€STR。策略：EUR/USD长跨式，能源期货牛市价差。

14

Sep 2026

澳元/美元下滑逼近0.7110支撑位，联储加息押注升温且油价守稳100美元上方

AUD/USD 回撤至0.7128，油价守100美元、通胀顽固促美联储再加息，风险情绪转弱。盯紧0.7110：若破位，或下探0.7065/0.7040。

14

Sep 2026

市场聚焦加拿大CPI，美元/加元测试1.3880；中东供应风险推动油价反弹

加拿大8月CPI成市场引爆点：美元/加元守1.3880待突破，意外或掀100点波动；中东风险推WTI挑战98.50，目标103.65；央行决议周警惕。

14

Sep 2026

欧洲开盘走低，AI科技股遭抛售与油价飙升加剧政策收紧与通胀担忧

AI概念抛售叠加油价飙升，欧股开盘承压、亚股走低，美债收益率攀升推升加息押注。半导体回撤孕育期权机会，原油地缘风险溢价可布局。

14

Sep 2026

卡齐米尔警示能源价格隐忧，欧元走软；欧洲央行下次会议将权衡政策选项

能源通胀再敲警钟：ECB卡齐米尔忧气电价、下次会议“所有选项”。欧元跌破1.1535逼近1.1500支撑；波动率料升，短期跨式与护盘期权成焦点。

14

Sep 2026

美国核心CPI火热推升美联储加息概率，但政治风险溢价升温令美元涨势趋缓

美国核心通胀超预期，市场押注美联储加息概率近90%，年内再加一次更稳。美元反弹乏力，政治风险溢价升温；期权策略宜偏欧元/美元震荡布局。

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