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Live Updates

19

Sep 2026

韩元持续承压，外资股市资金持续流出，美债收益率上行拖累美元/韩元

外资七日净卖超14万亿韩元拖累韩元，叠加美债收益率高企；但美元与油价回落或限USD/KRW上行。关键区间1365–1410，衍生品可用牛市价差/宽跨式布局。

19

Sep 2026

日元下滑，日本央行加息但鸽派指引降温；美元/日元瞄准160

日央行加息却偏鸽，日圆反跌1.2%！美日利差支撑USD/JPY冲160；留意158-159均线阻力、155支撑止损，期权布局看涨兼防干预风险。

19

Sep 2026

在AI芯片需求带动下，新加坡非石油国内出口（NODX）飙升；美国国债收益率走低令美元兑新元（USD/SGD）回落

AI芯片需求点燃新加坡出口：8月NODX暴增46.2%，OCBC上调2026预测至20%。美元走弱压低USD/SGD，技术面现“死亡交叉”风险，关注1.2740。

19

Sep 2026

澳元/美元在守住0.7100上方之际小幅走高，市场聚焦澳洲联储加息

澳元/美元本周站上0.7100并逼近0.7168关口，市场押注RBA 9/29加息；若突破可望冲0.7200。期权偏多布局，严守0.7084止损。

19

Sep 2026

离岸人民币走强，关税决定延后之际市场严阵以待特朗普—习近平峰会

峰会前人民币逆势走强：USD/CNH 逼近6.70，中间价压在6.76下；美方延后关税提振情绪。市场押注贸易休战延长，短期看跌美元/离岸人民币期权受捧。

19

Sep 2026

纽元回落，因美联储加息提振美元，NZD/USD关注0.5700支撑位是否跌破

纽元受美元加息效应压制回落：NZD/USD自0.5787转跌至0.5725，0.5700成关键。RSI逼近超卖，失守或看0.5671/0.5626；压力来自中国需求走弱、乳价下行与利差。

19

Sep 2026

美元/新元在回调后进入短线区间整理，交易员关注1.2710支撑位

USD/SGD 急挫后转入 1.2735–1.2775 区间震荡。短线可卖期权金；1–3 周偏多不变，守住 1.2710 看 1.2800/1.2835。

19

Sep 2026

能源与农产品期货自2026年低位反弹，供应趋紧且物流成本飙升

能源与农产品齐飙：欧气涨204%、油价站上100美元，咖啡暴冲71%。供应链紧绷推高运价与成品油短缺，库存下滑，企业限购，G7加码关键矿产储备。

19

Sep 2026

阿根廷8月贸易顺差优于预期，提振比索稳定性与主权债务情绪

阿根廷8月贸易顺差21.87亿美元超预期，净出口韧性成“创汇引擎”。比索NDF或更稳；CDS趋窄利主权债；能源出口带动ADR与YPF期权机遇。

19

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：标普500投机者净空仓增至10.05万份合约

CFTC：标普500非商业净持仓转负加深至-10.05万张，空头加码2.45万张。看跌与对冲升温，9月偏弱但或现反向逼空；短期买保护性认沽，布局低价认购与有限风险价差。

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