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8

Jul 2026

美元走软、FOMC会议纪要公布前夕，黄金守在4100美元上方；油价推动的通胀担忧限制涨幅

金价守4,100却涨乏力：美元走软等FOMC纪要；油轮遇袭、美国打击伊朗推油价飙升，通胀与高利率更久压制黄金，技术仍偏空逢高卖。

8

Jul 2026

波兰央行料维持利率在3.75%，通胀降温促焦点转向降息

通胀急降令紧缩叙事退潮：波兰央行7月料守3.75%，市场转押Q4起潜在降息，兹罗提carry缩水恐跑输CZK；可考虑做空PLN/做多CZK或买EUR/PLN看涨期权。

8

Jul 2026

风险偏好降温，霍尔木兹紧张局势推高油价；纽储行加息提振纽元，静待美联储会议纪要

霍尔木兹紧张推升WTI两日飙涨，市场转向避险并等待FOMC纪要；可布局原油看涨期权、标普保护性看跌，纽元因RBNZ加息走强，黄金稳守4100具避险机会。

8

Jul 2026

Penguin Solutions 再度超预期，营收大增，股价年初至今飙升246%

PENG财报再爆冷：经调EPS 0.84美元、营收4.79亿美元齐超预期，连续四季“惊喜”，年内飙246%。期权宜偏卖Put赚权利金，并用价外Put对冲回撤。

8

Jul 2026

美元/日元在急升后趋稳，美国CPI推升美元，163.00阻力位限制涨幅

美元兑日圆强势不坠，但上行料受限：短线或仅试162.70，163.00受干预风险压制。未来数周大概率困160.60–163.00，期权可布局卖Call/铁秃鹰。

8

Jul 2026

英镑/美元自1.3410回落，美国数据提振美元，修正风险升温

英镑兑美元冲高受阻1.3410后转弱，跌回1.3349进入修正。关键支撑1.3330/1.3315，失守恐宣告升势终结。非农强、英GDP零增长推升美元。策略：收紧止损或买1.3300附近看跌期权。

8

Jul 2026

油价维持安全溢价，美国-伊朗紧张局势推高收益率；华侨银行继续看好布伦特走势

美伊紧张推高油价与“安全溢价”，美元走强、债息升、金价回落。OCBC看布伦特缓慢回落至75美元；建议卖出虚值看涨、熊市价差，并以长期看跌对冲。

8

Jul 2026

中东局势紧张之际美元兑日元延续涨势；日本央行鸽派立场抑制日元吸引力

中东冲突升温与美日政策分歧推升美元/日元连涨，162.40遇阻回落。若突破或上探162.85，可布局看涨；守161.70/160.50，慎防日本干预。

8

Jul 2026

人工智能推动美国小企业设立，推高初创企业更替并重塑科技以外招聘模式

市场别只盯AI“取代岗位”！美国优势在小企业快创立：AI降门槛、缩小最小有效规模，创办数激增可抵用工下降，小盘股与周期板块或迎补涨机会。

8

Jul 2026

欧元/美元上行动能减弱，波动率下滑转入区间盘整，期权卖方瞄准权利金

欧元兑美元冲高回落，动能转弱转入1.1360-1.1450区间。美CPI降温、央行偏观望压低波动。想赚权利金？低波动环境可考虑卖出宽跨策略。

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