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20

Jul 2026

中国人民银行维持关键政策利率在3%，中国货币政策立场保持稳健

抢先看：人民银行维持关键政策利率不变，基准利率续守3%，符合市场预期；FXStreet称仅为新闻采编更新，未见新政策措施、前瞻指引或数据。

20

Jul 2026

金价徘徊在4,000美元附近，美伊紧张局势推升油价并强化美联储加息押注

金价逼近4,000美元再受压：美伊冲突推油价、通胀忧虑升温，市场押注美联储9月加息概率61.4%。策略：短期买入看跌期权/熊差，防反弹用跨式并以原油看涨对冲。

20

Jul 2026

Rightmove指数7月跌幅扩大，加大英国楼市与英镑前景压力

英国Rightmove 7月要价指数环比跌1%，跌幅扩大、楼市降温超季节性。高按揭利率逼卖家降价。策略：买GBP看跌、做空建商、做多SONIA期货。

20

Jul 2026

新西兰6月贸易顺差大幅收窄，加大纽元与利率前景压力

新西兰6月贸易顺差从8亿急坠至2300万纽元，警报拉响：出口动能疑转弱，纽元波动料升温；RBNZ更偏鸽派，NZD看跌与短端利率下行机会浮现。

20

Jul 2026

新西兰年度贸易逆差6月扩大，加剧纽元与利率前景压力

贸易赤字扩大至NZ$37.4亿，出口追不上进口，纽元短期承压。乳制品与中国需求疲弱加剧风险；可考虑做空NZD、买NZD/USD看跌期权及利率掉期布局降息。

19

Jul 2026

新西兰6月进口下滑，加剧纽元压力并推升市场对纽储行降息的押注

纽西兰6月进口微跌至80.7亿美元，需求降温或打开RBNZ降息空间。纽元偏弱可期，留意NZD/USD看跌、收固定掉期与贸易差额，必要时做空NZD兑AUD对冲。

19

Jul 2026

新西兰6月出口降至80.9亿纽元，交易员面临纽元下行风险加剧

新西兰6月出口跌至80.9亿美元，环比近9%滑落，乳制品木材需求降温。贸易转弱或促央行更鸽，纽元承压；可用NZD/USD看跌期权提前布局交易。

19

Jul 2026

标普500反弹乏力，科技股领涨动能动摇；市场忧虑中东局势升级

盘前急挫后反弹乏力，标普纳指广度未转多；半导体、记忆体走弱，软件横摆，防御股承接。中东升温风险未充分计价，谨防突发波动。

18

Jul 2026

美元/离岸人民币在6.77附近盘整，大华银行设定区间，6.7820下方维持下行偏向

美元兑离岸人民币淡静横摆于6.77，UOB指短线区间6.7670-6.7780；守住6.7820阻力则偏下看6.7600，但若后续突破关键阻力，或现上行机会。

18

Jul 2026

韩国央行转趋鹰派，促使星展银行预测政策利率在2026年底升至3.25%

韩银7月意外加息至2.75%并转鹰，DBS上修至2026年底利率3.25%、通胀或达3.5%。交易可做空KTB期货、付固定互换，并布局韩元看涨。

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