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25

Sep 2026

英镑徘徊在三个月低点附近，市场重新定价英伦银行与美联储前景

英镑兑美元周五谨慎反弹至1.3220，仍贴近三个月低位。本周累跌1.27%，市场质疑英央行鹰派；美元因Fed再鹰与PMI强劲走强。

25

Sep 2026

欧元徘徊在三个月低点附近，市场押注美联储鹰派立场与油价触及100美元支撑美元

欧元跌至三个月低位1.1380，油价逼近100美元与美联储偏鹰推升美元；德国信心骤降加压。策略：做空欧元、买油与DXY看涨，并布局波动率收益。

25

Sep 2026

油价反弹与美联储鹰派立场推高美元，金价承压，短期反弹空间受限

黄金失守4,250后徘徊4,275：中东升温推油价、美联储偏鹰令10月加息概率破70%撑美元，金价短线仍压；关键阻力4,300-4,354，支撑4,200/4,000。

25

Sep 2026

美元涨势停滞，因美联储鹰派立场推高美债收益率，欧元、英镑与黄金承压

美元冲高回落，DXY曾逼近101.40；鹰派联储推10年美债破5.2%点燃期权机会：短期做多美元、做空欧镑；USD/JPY跨式防干预；黄金转偏空价差。

25

Sep 2026

美元走强，因美国国债收益率飙升，政策分歧扩大并收紧金融环境

美债收益率飙至2007年来高位，美元强势重返焦点！政策分化叠加油价破百推升通胀忧虑；美国数据稳健，市场押注高利率更久，金价承压回落。

25

Sep 2026

美伊就霍尔木兹展开会谈缓和油市，英加息押注升温加剧债市抛售

美伊谈“分阶段”停战：伊朗重开霍尔木兹换美方解封，僵持待先手。布油回落但仍高；美英欧债息陡升压股汇，波动加剧。

25

Sep 2026

卢比反弹，尽管美国收益率上升与油价波动加剧，印度央行抛售美元仍压制美元/印度卢比走势

卢比在RBI疑似抛美元干预下短暂反弹，但美债收益率创新高、油价波动令压力未解。策略：USD/INR牛市价差看97，卖PUT收权利金，原油买CALL与利率期货押鹰派。

25

Sep 2026

金价跌破4,300美元，鹰派美联储与高企收益率持续施压黄金

金价亚盘低位盘整受制4,300。美元与美债收益率高企、联储偏鹰，叠加中东风险推升通胀，黄金难反弹。关注4,231破位，下看4,105/3,945。

25

Sep 2026

澳元/日元小幅走低，日元转强与干预风险抵消市场对澳洲联储加息的预期

AUD/JPY跌至111.10，日元走强+干预警戒升温。日银加息并暗示续紧，3%日债收益率削弱套利。RBA或再加息但难支撑；技术偏空，建议看跌期权/熊差防守。

25

Sep 2026

道琼斯指数跌至6月中旬低点，长债收益率触及5.50%，美联储鹰派立场持续

美债30年收益率飙至5.50%冲击风险偏好，道指连跌三日创6月低位。联储官员放鹰，加息忧虑升温；油价坚挺、地缘消息缓和跌势，标普持平纳指微涨。

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