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23

Jul 2026

拉加德称欧央行维持利率不变，能源与气候风险令通胀仍偏上行

拉加德发出警讯：ECB 7月按兵不动，但通胀风险仍偏上行。能源价若长期高企恐引爆二轮效应；极端天气推高食品价，油价回落仍待评估。

23

Jul 2026

拉加德在能源通胀持续之际维持欧洲央行利率不变，欧元料走强，人工智能提振服务业

欧央行7月按兵不动：服务业与AI数字服务回暖但增长温和，能源冲击推高通胀至2027前。交易员可押欧元走强、短债高利率、能源波动与欧洲科技期权。

23

Jul 2026

能源冲击与收益率分化推动美元兑日元升破163，日元徘徊在纪录低位附近

日元逼近历史低位，能源涨价恶化贸易条件推USD/JPY突破163。收益率走高加压，市场押注BoJ提前加息与当局干预。机构建议短期买沽防突袭，长期布局回落145。

23

Jul 2026

中东局势紧张推升油价创六周新高，打压美股与比特币

中东局势升温推高油价至六周新高，通胀忧虑再起；风险偏好转弱，美股US500逼近关键SMA支撑，比特币停滞65,000，关注是否守稳支撑。

23

Jul 2026

红海遇袭引发供应忧虑、推高全球收益率，布伦特油价飙向100美元

红海袭击点燃供应忧虑，布伦特冲上96美元逼近100。市场当通胀冲击：美德英债息齐升、金融条件收紧。策略：买油价看涨期权，空长债，减欧股、对冲欧元。

23

Jul 2026

美元/加元反弹，尽管加拿大零售销售强劲且油价走高，美联储加息押注仍提振美元

USD/CAD 触底反弹至1.4088，美元重拾动能；加拿大零售稳健但核心偏软。中东冲突推升油价至WTI 92美元，通胀忧虑升温；Fed转鹰更胜油价利多加元。

23

Jul 2026

加拿大5月EI领取人数持平，助长市场押注加拿大央行偏鸽，令加元承压下行

加拿大EI受益人数5月环比回升至0%止跌，反映就业增长停滞。劳市降温或拖累加元，加拿大央行偏鸽降息概率升；可考虑做空CAD、布局短端利率与买入CAD看跌期权。

23

Jul 2026

欧元走软，欧洲央行维持利率不变，中东紧张局势推高美元、油价及美联储加息预期

欧央行按兵不动，欧元/美元徘徊1.1385；中东冲突升级推升避险美元与油价，Fed加息预期飙升。交易钩子：做空欧元、做多原油、管理波动率。

23

Jul 2026

美国初请失业金人数降至1969年以来最低，美元走强，降息预期降温

美国初申失业救济降至18.7万创1969年来新低，美元指数升至101.35。就业火热或推迟降息、抬高收益率；可布局美元看涨、空美债与VIX对冲。

23

Jul 2026

澳元涨势降温，市场静待CPI与澳洲联储信号，澳元/美元料徘徊0.70附近

澳元年内大涨后或迎0.70盘整！RBA偏鹰、就业强撑，但美元走强与顺差收窄压制；聚焦下周CPI与布洛克讲话，策略偏铁鹰/卖跨式。

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