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Live Updates

25

Jul 2026

贝森特就福特诺克斯黄金储备作保证，在金市动荡之际再度引发要求进行独立审计的呼声

贝森特称诺克斯堡黄金“在且登记”，但仅口头背书。文章质疑50年无实质外审，透明度缺口或成金价尾风：央行增持、期权对冲与DXY跨式布局。

25

Jul 2026

金银比率处于70水平，显示白银被低估，推动均值回归交易兴趣升温

金银比率本周升至约70:1，远高于长期均衡约60:1，暗示白银相对低估。叠加供应缺口与工业需求激增，布局白银期权/多银空金，博均值回归。

25

Jul 2026

泰铢徘徊在15个月低点附近，油价波动与美国收益率走高提振美元

泰铢逼近15个月低位：油价飙、美元强、美债息升夹击，泰央行偏鸽支撑有限。策略建议做多USD/THB、买泰铢看跌并配布油看涨对冲；跌破37.50或触发干预。

25

Jul 2026

欧元区PMI走高推动欧元/美元漂至1.1370，美元在美联储会议前保持坚挺

欧元区PMI意外转强，EUR/USD仍回落至1.1370附近，美元守稳101.50。技术面逼近1.1366-68支撑，若跌破或加速下探；聚焦7/28-29联储会议与高利率措辞。

24

Jul 2026

美元走强之际金价小幅走高，因美国收益率走低支撑价格，市场静待美联储会议

美元走强下金价仍升至4,065；美债收益率回落支撑，但技术偏空、阻力4,100。决议前波动或放大：短线偏买沽/熊市价差，回踩4,000可布局长线看涨。

24

Jul 2026

印尼央行维持利率在5.75%，大华银行指仍可能进一步加息以支撑印尼盾

印尼央行7月维持利率5.75%不动却偏鹰，USD/IDR小升。大华银行料至2026再加息75个基点至6.50%；建议布局印尼盾走强、做互换收浮付固押注曲线趋平。

24

Jul 2026

股市徘徊在52,000点附近，油价因伊朗谈判传闻走低，美国关税重塑市场前景

“和平”传闻推升指数至5.2万，但油价回落仅带来短暂安心。真正风险是美国新关税覆盖99%进口、推升通胀与加息预期，波动恐升温。

24

Jul 2026

MUFG：金管局料7月政策维持不变、立场偏鹰，支撑新元走强

MAS料7月按兵不动但偏鹰，增长与本土通胀撑紧缩倾向；MUFG看好新元。交易员可布空USD/SGD：买短期看跌瞄1.3250，或卖看涨收息。关注8月数据。

24

Jul 2026

德国商业银行：AI交易风向转变，“七巨头”光环褪色，超大规模云服务商信贷压力加剧

AI交易现转折：Mag7热潮退，市场紧盯hyperscalers资本开支挤压FCF、杠杆升与CDS走阔。半导体剧烈波动；可用防御性认沽、熊市价差、跨式与卖价外call应对。

24

Jul 2026

美元涨势消退，因美债收益率回落、油价走软，市场严阵以待FOMC风险

美元涨势放缓：油价转软、美债收益率回落，高贝塔货币喘息。欧元英镑仍陷区间。伊朗风险与FOMC逼近，美元支撑未破；可用区间策略与美元看涨、卖短跨捕捉波动。

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