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31

Jul 2026

央行买盘与ETF资金流入推高金价，储备多元化推动2026年涨势

别只盯CPI：2026金价强势源自央行史诗级购金、ETF吸金与供应“静默”收紧，加上本币贬值推升内盘。期权偏多：长Call、牛市价差、卖OTM Put。

31

Jul 2026

美元在伊朗紧张局势下跌至六周低位，尽管美联储维持利率不变且美债收益率走高

美元因中东风险与疑似日本干预走弱、曾探六周低点；美债长期收益率飙升。美联储按兵不动但现鹰派分歧，通胀回落、就业降温，市场紧盯下轮CPI与非农。

31

Jul 2026

美国就业数据料保持平稳：非农新增就业温和增长、薪资增速放缓，波动风险仍存

美国7月就业料稳中放缓：非农+9.5万、失业率4.2%、薪资同比3.5%。股市波动或偏低可做区间策略，但若参与率反弹推高失业率，宜买便宜VIX看涨对冲。

31

Jul 2026

贝克休斯：美国石油钻机数量小幅回升，页岩油纪律支撑WTI油价底部

油钻机数微升至451座：美国供给纪律持续、与OPEC+减产共振，WTI底部获支撑。低波动偏上行，偏好看涨期权，关注75-85美元区间与降息催化。

31

Jul 2026

道指微升，苹果重挫、亚马逊大涨，美债收益率徘徊在本轮高位附近

道指52,500下震荡600点，苹果暴跌、亚马逊飙升互抵。美债收益率逼多年高位，数据偏鹰。死守52,000支撑，紧盯ISM与非农；用跨式/保护性认沽对冲波动。

31

Jul 2026

随着霍尔木兹海峡运输恢复，WTI油价在83美元附近企稳；市场聚焦OPEC+产量决策与库存下降

WTI反弹至83.30美元收窄周跌幅；霍尔木兹通行仅恢复30%–35%缓解焦虑仍存。EIA库存大降支撑偏紧，聚焦OPEC+增产与91.60布伦特触发CTA：高波动下多头+期权对冲。

31

Jul 2026

美元/加元跌破关键趋势线支撑，1.4160下方看跌偏向增强

USDCAD 本月转弱，跌破四小时双支撑、通道与基底通道，结构转空并指向更大级别三波下跌。留意 1.3967–1.4000 反弹；1.4120–1.4160 逢高做空。

31

Jul 2026

富时100指数自纪录高位回落：获利回吐与伊朗紧张局势推升油价，打击科技股

富时100月末获利回吐，11,000点前受阻；美伊紧张推升油价。抓住回调：低吸英股看涨期权、做多布油对冲；纳指短期看跌防震荡，8月关注突破信号。

31

Jul 2026

澳元企稳于0.7020附近，因中国PMI走弱及美联储鹰派言论提振美元

中国PMI跌破50拖累澳元，但美元因联储官员偏鹰走强，AUD/USD仍守0.7020。关注0.7045阻力、0.6980支撑；波动或升温，区间策略更吃香。

31

Jul 2026

英镑持稳，美元干预效应消退；交易员关注英伦银行与美联储政策分歧，押注英镑/美元上行

美元周跌逾1.3%削弱支撑，英镑稳守1.3365；英行按兵不动仍留加息空间。策略钩子：趁隐波仅7.2%，买入1.3550看涨。警惕FED分歧与英财政不确定性。

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