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Live Updates

1

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：标普500净空头小幅上升，持仓进一步跌破零轴

CFTC最新报告：标普500 NC净持仓再下探至-17.2k，较前值-16.8k恶化0.4k，净空头小幅加码，偏空格局延续，市场情绪仍谨慎。

1

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示，黄金投机客削减净多头，高位持仓暗示进入盘整阶段

CFTC：黄金投机净多仓微降至182.1K，仅1.8K获利回吐，多头结构仍稳。别恐慌抛售，回调分批做多，关注2026年9月看涨期权。

1

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示，日元空头加深，投机押注逼近此前引发轧空风险水平

CFTC：日元非商业净持仓由-152.1k降至-163.4k，空头加码升温。极端看空恐埋杠杆陷阱，政策转鹰或股市回落或触发逼空，宜买期权防反转。

1

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：宏观逆风拖累金价，黄金投机者转为净空头

重磅：CFTC黄金非商业净持仓从+183.9k反转至-163.4k，单周摆动347.3k！投机盘激进转空，美元与高收益率施压金价，短线恐下探2250，警惕突发空头回补风险。

1

Aug 2026

美元/日元剧烈震荡，纽约联储因疑似日元支撑干预风险而准备应对银行需求

当心突袭！USD/JPY 158-161 剧震，疑纽约联储背书卖美元。158 失守恐急挫155；站稳161.5需弃空。日央行“窗口”有限，聚焦非农与加息预期。

1

Aug 2026

日本干预传闻与美债警告引发日元波动，美元指数回吐涨幅

美元指数跌破100、7月料收黑：疑日本卖美元买日元，且美财部示意或联手干预。联储指引转鸽压美元；聚焦ISM与非农。策略：买DXY与USD/JPY看跌、用跨式+利率期货对冲。

1

Aug 2026

哥伦比亚央行将基准利率定在12%，鸽派意外令比索承压，提振债券与股市

哥伦比亚意外把基准利率降至12%低过预期，释放鸽派信号：COP或承压贬2%-4%。债市看多TES/IBR降息交易，股市利好高杠杆股权估值。

1

Aug 2026

巴尔金指出美联储限制性政策力度存不确定性，三名理事推动加息

美联储内部分歧加剧：巴尔金称利率是否够“限制性”仍难定，三官员力推加息。市场别急押注降息；利率或更久高企，宜用期权对冲波动与美元走强。

31

Jul 2026

欧元/美元企稳于1.1530附近，欧元区通胀走强，美联储鹰派论调支撑美元

欧元区通胀回升推升欧元，EUR/USD 1.1530 震荡偏强但 RSI 近超买；关注 1.1526 支撑。策略：回调做多，卖 1.1450 牛市 put spread，并买 1.1350 OTM 看跌对冲美联储鹰派。

31

Jul 2026

英镑企稳随美元回升，英央行降息押注重新定价，聚焦美联储偏鹰派暂停立场

英镑周五几乎持平，GBP/USD约1.3458；美元在“干预日”后反弹，美联储偏鹰派按兵不动支撑。英国央行9月降息预期重估，英镑落后同业。重点看什么？

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